NFL Week 15: Four player props for Sunday
As you might recall, the bulk of the NFL plays on Sundays. While Saturday may have grabbed your early attention, don't wait on the Sunday slate, as there is some value in the prop market available right now.
Alvin Kamara & Saquon Barkley 50+ rushing yards (+132 FD)
I ran a very similar play last week in the New Orleans game, with Chuba Hubbard, and that delivered, so I'm going back to the well in a very comparable situation.
Both the Saints and Giants came up as good defenses to target for rushing props. New York is allowing the third-most yards per game to RBs and the second-most yards per rush, while New Orleans is allowing the 10th-most yards per game to backs and the fifth-most yards per rush.
I'm simply loading up a pair of top backs to take advantage. Kamara has 50+ rushing yards eight of 10 this year and had 120 last time he saw the Giants. Barkley has 50+ yards in eight of nine this season, averaging 78.3 yards per game.
Chig Okonkwo over 30.5 receiving yards (-115 DK)
Okonkwo came up a few times this week against the Houston Texans. First, Houston is allowing the most receptions per game to tight ends, so that always is a nice place to start. Then the Texans secondary as a whole caught my eye as a team to target, as they're allowing the third-most yards per pass attempt, the eighth-most explosive passes per game, and DVOA grades them the fifth-worst pass defense in football.
Oknonkwo is second on the Titans in targets behind DeAndre Hopkins, and over his past three games he's gone for 45, 62 and 46 yards.
Every week, tight ends are notching big games against Houston, which explains why they're allowing 64.5 yards per game to the position.
Demarcus Robinson 40+ yards (+106 FD)
I love this spot for the Rams' Demarcus Robinson. Los Angeles is playing a porous Washington Commanders secondary allowing the most yards per pass attempt, the third-most 20+ yard passes and the most passing yards per game.
While Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are the main targets, I'm drawn to Robinson. He's emerged as WR3 for Matthew Stafford, seeing 15 targets over the past two weeks and turning that volume into 55 and 46 yards. Willing to bet he keeps that going against this soft opponent. Both Sean McVay and Matthew Stafford have been gassing Robinson up all week and confirming that his role is here to stay.
Rashee Rice over 5.5 receptions (+110 ESPN)
This one is simple. New England is allowing the ninth-most receptions per game to wide receivers, and Patrick Mahomes has been force-feeding Rashee Rice of late.
Over the last three games, Rice has target totals of 10, nine and 10, turning that into reception marks of eight, eight and seven. I'll gladly back him to go over 5.5 at this price.
In a year plagued by wide receiver mistakes, Rice is gaining Mahomes's trust, a valuable place to be.
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