NFL Week 6 bets: Three yardage props for Sunday's action
There are quite a few players standing out to me this week for yardage props, and I'll be touching on some more in my lotto ticket article. In the meantime, there are three players in particular who seem to be in good spots to go over their totals this Sunday in the NFL.
Drake London over 43.5 receiving yards (-115 DraftKings)
Drake London is here simply because of how poor this Washington secondary has been. The Commanders have allowed the fourth-highest yards per pass attempt and the seventh-most 20+ yard passes per game. Last week, D.J. Moore exploded against the Commanders, the week prior, it was A.J. Brown. The week before that, Stefon Diggs.
Now I'm thinking Drake London can give us a respectable showing, even if he isn't quite on the same plane as those other three wide outs.
London has been targeted 29 times over the past four games, and twice that volume has paid off with a 67 and 78-yard outing. London has been breaking off some big plays and should get his chances here. This number just feels too low to me.
TJ Hockenson over 53.5 receiving yards (-110 DK)
This has been a popular play this week, and I know I missed out on that better line when it opened at 50.5. I'm still OK going to the Vikings tight end at this number.
Hockenson is averaging 50.8 receiving yards per game this year, twice going over this line. This figures to be a breakout opportunity for him, and yes it helps that Justin Jefferson is out, opening up more volume.
Even if he wasn't, Chicago is one of the worst pass defenses in the league, and they've struggled against tight ends. The Bears have allowed the fourth-most receptions to TEs per game and the ninth-most yards. Hockenson's role figures to grow and I'm taking a chance on him here to get 54+ yards.
D'Andre Swift over 85.5 rushing & receiving yards (-114 FanDuel)
D'Andre Swift popped up twice this week. Once because the Jets are quietly one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL, and again because New York lets up the fourth-most receptions to running backs.
In comes Swift, who has taken 75 carries and seen 15 targets over the past four weeks. In that stretch, Swift is averaging 126.5 rushing & receiving yards per game, going over this line three times. His passing game involvement has grown the past few weeks and his rushing work has stayed steady. I prefer this combined prop to his standard rushing over.
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