Derek Carr. Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The ramifications of Derek Carr's expected release

The Raiders and Derek Carr are breaking up on Valentine's Day.

According to NBC Sports' Mike Florio, the Raiders must release Carr before 4 p.m. EST on Tuesday to avoid activating a $40.4M injury guarantee. 

When Carr is released, it will end a decent nine-year era that re-established some respectability. 

Las Vegas has only made two playoff appearances since 2002; both were Carr-led. He also set the franchise's passing TD record (217).

Yet Las Vegas never became a consistent contender with Carr, who posted a losing starting record in nine seasons (63-79).

2022 felt like a make-or-break year after Las Vegas traded a first-round pick for Davante Adams, a six-time Pro Bowl WR. 

Although Carr made the Pro Bowl as an alternate and threw 24 TDs in 15 starts, he tied a career-high in interceptions (14), ultimately resulting in the Raiders' decision to move on. 

Per OverTheCap, Carr's release will incur a $5.6M cap hit but save the Raiders $29.3M in cap space. 

According to OTC, the Raiders have $19.1M in cap room, meaning they will nearly have $50M after Carr is gone, enough to pursue a free-agent QB like Jimmy Garoppolo. His market value is a four-year deal worth $34.9M in annual salary, per Spotrac.

Carr will have suitors in free agency. He spoke with the Saints, who wanted to acquire him via trade. However, he had no interest in taking a significant pay cut, deciding not to waive his no-trade clause.

Other QB-needy teams like the Jets, Commanders, Panthers and Buccaneers could show interest, too.

Carr and the Raiders are splitting up, but the move may work for both parties. 

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