Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Unio / USA TODAY NETWORK

Week 7 'TNF' touchdown props: Two targets for Saints vs. Jaguars

Thursday night's NFL game is between the 3-3 New Orleans Saints and 4-2 Jacksonville Jaguars. Given the over/under is set at just 39.5 points, it seems touchdowns might be at a premium. That opens the door for some value opportunities, and we're jumping at two this week. We recommend half-unit wagers on all touchdown bets.

Chris Olave TD (+190 DraftKings)

The one potential on-paper edge we're seeing favors the New Orleans' pass catchers. Jacksonville has allowed 1.17 touchdowns per game to WRs, tied for the sixth-highest mark in the league.

In slots Chris Olave, who has seen double-digit targets in four of six games this year. Olave tops the Saints in both targets and snaps played, yet he's turned that volume into only one touchdown thus far.

Here's to the young receiver finding pay-dirt once again.

Trevor Lawrence TD (+450 DraftKings)

Now, this is a fun one. If you're going to bet on some quarterback rushing touchdowns, it's best to acknowledge the supreme unlikeliness of your wager, but lately our scientific takes haven't quite been delivering, so that's opt for some fun.

Lawrence has played twice on Thursday night in his career, rushing in a touchdown both times. Is there something about the short week and the TNF broadcast that makes Lawrence think he needs to deliver a score with his legs? No, this is probably just a stupid coincidence, but it sure seems interesting.

Drop this stat nugget in your group chats and root on Lawrence rushing one in against the Saints. He's been using his legs all year, averaging 24.5 rushing yards per game and 5.5 attempts per contest.

Year-to-date on touchdowns: 9-26 (-2.25u)

More must-reads:

TODAY'S BEST
Timberwolves chew up Nuggets to force Game 7
Rangers secure spot in conference finals after stunning third-period comeback over Hurricanes
Xander Schauffele makes history in first round of PGA Championship
Yankees' Hal Steinbrenner shares massive Juan Soto contract update
Steelers' Cameron Heyward addresses contract holdout
Knicks star ruled out for potential closeout game
Dodgers starter undergoes season-ending UCL surgery
Clemson’s Dabo Swinney gives smug response about not using transfer portal
Caitlin Clark's debut was most-watched WNBA game in more than 20 years
Watch: Chris Kreider's natural third-period hat trick shatters Hurricanes' comeback hopes
Veteran NFL safety will either play for this team or retire in 2024
Former Red Wings head coach linked to open NHL job
How Patriots' Drake Maye has already impressed Jacoby Brissett
LeBron James, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Stephen Curry among Forbes' highest-paid athletes for 2024
Steve Cohen addresses if Mets could again be trade-deadline sellers
Tiger Woods ruins strong first round with sloppy finish at PGA Championship
NFL responds to speculation about Chiefs schedule and Taylor Swift
Despite hopes for change, NASCAR championship weekend will return to Phoenix in 2025
Chiefs will achieve something not done since 1927 with 2024 schedule
Yankees' Aaron Judge comments on resurgence after bad slump

Want more sports news?

Join the hundreds of thousands of fans who start their day with Yardbarker's Morning Bark, the best newsletter in sports.