There are some players who make reasonable improvements in platform years before they need new contracts. Then there are players like Adrian Kempe.
In the final year of his $2M AAV bridge contract, Kempe broke his career highs in offensive production. Kempe led the Los Angeles Kings with 35 goals and added on 19 assists. He finished with 54 points, which was good for second on the team behind Anze Kopitar. Kempe showed that the improved offensive form he flashed in 2020-21, when he had 14 goals and 29 points in 56 games, was not a fluke. Before that point, Kempe had been typically seen as someone capable of scoring around 15 goals and 30 points a season.
It also has likely made him quite a bit of money. Kempe is an arbitration-eligible restricted free agent and is close to unrestricted free agency. Kempe has communicated a desire to stay in Los Angeles, saying definitively in his postseason press conference that he would like to sign a long-term deal with the Kings. The conflict, then, comes in terms of finding exactly what that long-term deal will look like.
The Athletic’s Lisa Dillman reports that the Kings and Kempe’s representation have had “early discussions” but “nothing substantial” in the way of negotiations on a new Kempe contract. As a 35-goal-scorer, Kempe’s deal could now cost over $5M per year, and Dillman pointed to St. Louis Blues forward Pavel Buchnevich and his five-year, $5.8M contract as a comparable for Kempe.
There is always the risk that paying based off of Kempe’s one breakout year burns the Kings if Kempe reverts back to his prior production, but on the flip side, there’s also the risk that another year of strong production drives Kempe’s price up even more. With the Kings eager to improve upon a season where they made the playoffs for the first time under coach Todd McLellan, getting Kempe locked into a long-term deal should be a priority for this summer.
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