Dallas Stars vs. Vegas Golden Knights preview, prediction, pick for 1/16: DeBoer returns to Sin City

Yardbarker Quick Pick

This one projects to be a lower-scoring affair. Dallas is allowing just 2.4 goals per game on the road and Vegas is letting in about 2.8 per game when at home. Neither offense has yielded a particular brand of dominance lately that suggest to us goals are coming. Only one game between these teams in the past eight meetings has seen more than six goals scored. We grabbed under 5.5 in this one. — Griffin Carroll, Yardbarker

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Monday, 6 p.m. ET
Dallas Stars: +1 (-200) puckline, +110 moneyline, over 5.5 (-127)
@ Vegas Golden Knights: -1 (+160) puckline, -118 moneyline, under 5.5  (+105)

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Dallas entered Sunday's play in a points tie with Winnipeg for first place in the Central Division, while Vegas held a two-point edge over both Seattle and Los Angeles in the Pacific Division.

Ironically, DeBoer and his replacement with the Golden Knights, Bruce Cassidy, both earned the right to coach their division teams in the NHL All-Star Game on Feb. 4 in Sunrise, Fla. Cassidy said he and DeBoer have coached together in the past on Team Canada staffs and also at coaches' clinics at the NHL Draft.

"There does become a bond over time ... It will be good to see him," Cassidy said. "I know he's going to be highly-motivated to come in here and play well so our team should understand that."

Dallas, in the midst of a stretch that sees them play 14 of 19 games on the road, will be trying to avoid its first three-game losing streak of the season after back-to-back one-goal losses.

The Stars lost in New York to the Rangers 2-1 in overtime on Thursday when K'Andre Miller scored the tying goal with 0.2 seconds left in regulation and Adam Fox followed with the game-winner 1:16 into overtime. Dallas then made a quick pit-stop home before starting another three-game Western road trip and lost 6-5 to Calgary on Saturday afternoon.

The Stars fell behind 2-0 in the first 8:10 against the Flames and trailed 6-1 late in the second period before rallying behind a pair of third-period goals by Joe Pavelski, soon cutting it to 6-5 with 4:37 left on a point shot blast by Colin Miller.

"Just didn't play well enough for long enough," DeBoer said. "I think that's the bottom line. You're down 2-0 it feels like before the puck even drops. This time of year against good teams you dig a hole like that it's hard to dig out of. Yeah, we played well down the stretch there in the third, but too big of a hole.

"I think losing this game is a reminder to us that we have to show up and play 60 minutes," DeBoer added. "Credit to our guys. We haven't rolled over all year. We haven't mailed it in. We've always got off the mat and battled back. I expect we'll do the same thing again."

This will be the fifth game of a season-long seven-game homestand for the Golden Knights, who have surprisingly struggled at home this season. Vegas is just 13-11-0 at T-Mobile Arena and has dropped two of its last three, including a 4-3 loss to Edmonton on Saturday night.

The Golden Knights fell behind 2-0 in the first 1:42 on goals by Mattias Janmark and Leon Draisaitl and trailed 4-2 midway through the second period. William Karlsson cut it to 4-3 at the 19:18 mark of the period but Vegas managed just nine shots against the tight-checking Oilers in the third period to lose its sixth straight game against Pacific Division opposition.

"We just played a game where I feel that we should be highly-motivated as well," Cassidy said. "I would expect two teams bringing their better games."