
The overall NHL standings are as congested as ever.
As things stand, fifth-place New Jersey is just eight points ahead of 28th-place St. Louis, so it’s safe to expect plenty of movement in the standings over the next several weeks.
American Thanksgiving (Canada's is the second Monday in October) is a key mark in the schedule, as teams that are within four points of the playoff cutline by then have gone on to make the dance a whopping 67.3% of the time since 2014-15, according to The Athletic and TSN NHL insider Chris Johnston.
Food for thought: Since 2014-15, and excluding Covid seasons, NHL teams sitting four points inside the playoff cut-off line on Thanksgiving have gone on to qualify 67.3% of the time
— Chris Johnston (@reporterchris) November 27, 2025
Given current standings, that trend suggests 5 current playoff teams will fall out
But what about teams outside the playoff picture now? Here are five that should insert themselves into the playoff picture over the coming weeks. (All records and statistics are through Sunday's play.)
It’s been a bit of a mess so far in Edmonton, with goaltending and coaching taking a lot of heat through 26 games. However, this has happened before, with the Oilers starting slowly and eventually finding their groove and making the playoffs with ease. As long as center Connor McDavid (36 points in 26 games) and forward Leon Draisaitl (31 points in 26 games) are healthy and producing, the Oilers will make the postseason.
A slow start by the Senators and an injury to captain and winger Brady Tkachuk (four points in five games) have hampered Ottawa. While that could have led to the Senators falling out of contention before things really even started, they’ve instead shown resilience and are just one point out of a playoff spot. GM Steve Staios reportedly will be active on the trade market, so expect to hear a lot from this team down the stretch.
The back-to-back Stanley Cup champions surprisingly are near the bottom of the Eastern Conference. But the Panthers are heating up, so it's only a matter of time before they’re back at the top of the Atlantic Division. The impending return of superstar winger Matthew Tkachuk, who has not played yet while recovering from a sports hernia and torn adductor muscle, should put Florida in position for a repeat.
If there was a team you can never count out when hovering around the playoff picture, it’s the Islanders. This group always seems to find a way to squeeze into the mix. Eighteen-year-old rookie defenseman Matthew Schaefer (19 points in his first 26 NHL games) has given them a needed element of youth and skill. Then factor in that Ilya Sorokin is capable of much better than his 2.67 goals-against average and .900 save percentage, and New York has the upside for more than just a wild-card spot.
Last year’s Presidents' Trophy winner has been free-falling lately, going 4-6-0 in their past 10 games to fall out of the playoff picture. That can be attributed to the absence of superstar goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, who was 8-6-0 and had Winnipeg in a playoff spot before his injury. If the Jets play .500 or better over the next month without their MVP, they should be able to take off when he returns and make the postseason for the eighth time in nine seasons.
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