Pictured: Teaira McCowan of the Wings and Kayla Thornton of the Liberty for Action Network’s odds, pick, and prediction for Dallas vs. New York. Action Network / Getty Images

Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty prediction, pick, odds for Thu. 8/22

Originally posted on Action Network | By Michael Arinze | Last updated Aug 22, 2024 12:02 AM ET

Wings vs. Liberty Prediction

The Wings hope their second game in three days against the Liberty will go much better than Tuesday's 94-74 loss at the Barclays Center.

While New York will be looking for a repeat performance, it's a heavy favorite at -13.5. Instead, I recommend bettors bypass the spread and target a more favorable play by betting Under 172.5 points.

My Wings vs. Liberty prediction is below.

Wings vs. Liberty Pick: Under 172.5 (-110 at Caesars)

Wings vs. Liberty Odds

Thursday, Aug. 22

7 p.m. ET

Prime Video

Wings Odds
Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
+13.5 -13.5	172.5 -110/-110	+710

Liberty Odds
Spread	Over/Under	Moneyline
-110 -110	172.5 -110/-110	-1250

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute WNBA odds here.

There's only one game on Thursday's WNBA slate and it's a rematch from Tuesday. New York dominated that meeting, despite not having its three-time All-Star point guard, Sabrina Ionescu, who missed the game with a neck injury.

Ionescu's status remains day-to-day, but the Liberty might not need to rush her back, given how well they took care of business against the Wings.

Following the blowout victory, New York opened as a 13.5-point favorite after closing at -9.5 on Tuesday.

As bad as the Wings have looked, favorites laying 13.5 or more points are just 5-18 against the spread this season.

Thus, I see no reason to rush to the window and back the Liberty in this spot.

A better option would be a play on the total, which opened at 171.5, despite the first meeting staying under with a combined score of 168 points.

Moreover, according to our Action Labs database, games with an opening total of 170 or more points this season are just 7-12 (36.87%) to the over. And if we adjust our query in this spot to only include Liberty games, the over has yet to cash in four tries.

Since my model projects that the ceiling for this game is more likely to be in the mid-160s, I can only look to the under at 172.5 points or better.