NFL player prop betting guide for the Divisional Round

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 1/19/23

We hope last week's circled spots helped you build some winning bets, as many of the defensive vulnerabilities we pointed out did indeed continue on the field. We're running out of time to find us the softest defenses to certain positions the farther into the postseason we get, and we should cherish this weekend.

All eight teams hitting the field this week offer some type of prop weakness that could help benefit a certain player. What they are and who stands to benefit follow.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs

Jaguars defensive stats to know

6th-most passing yards allowed per game last 10 games
4th-most touchdowns allowed to WRs this season
Most yards allowed per game to TEs
3rd-most rushing yards allowed per game to QBs

Chiefs who can take advantage

Patrick Mahomes

309.1 passing yards per game over the last 10 games
331 yards vs. Jacksonville on November 13
21.1 rushing yards per game this season
39 rushing yards vs. Jacksonville on November 13

Travis Kelce

78.7 yards per game this season
81 yards vs. Jacksonville on November 13
9.2 targets per game over the last 10 games

JuJu Smith-Schuster

6.1 targets per game over the last 10 games
16 red zone targets this year
Three touchdowns this season

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

4.8 targets per game this season
10 red zone targets this year
Two touchdowns this year, including vs. Jacksonville on November 13

Chiefs defensive stats to know

9th-most receptions allowed per game to WRs this season
2nd-most touchdowns allowed to WRs
5th-most rushing yards allowed per game to QBs

Jaguars who can take advantage

Christian Kirk

8.6 targets per game over the last 10 games
5.7 receptions per game over the last 10 games
Nine catches, 105 yards and two touchdowns vs. Kansas City on November 13
Nine touchdowns this year
23 red zone targets this year

Zay Jones

8.4 targets per game over the last 10 games
5.6 receptions per game over the last 10 games
Eight catches for 68 yards vs. Kansas City on November 13
Six touchdowns this year
20 red zone targets this year

Marvin Jones

5.8 targets per game over the last five games
3.2 receptions per game over the last five games
One catch for 33 yards vs. Kansas City on November 13
Four touchdowns this year
10 red zone targets this year

Trevor Lawrence

20 rushing yards per game over the last 10 games
26 rushing yards vs. Kansas City on November 13

Griffin's recommendation: Mahomes' passing yards and Kirk touchdown

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles

Giants defensive stats to know

6th-most rushing yards allowed per game last 10 games
6th-most rushing yards allowed per game to RBs this season
8th-most yards allowed per game to TEs this season
6th-most receptions allowed per game to TEs

Eagles who can take advantage

Miles Sanders

74.6 rushing yards per game this season
88.5 rushing yards per game in two meetings with the Giants this year
15.2 carries per game this season

Dallas Goedert

58.5 receiving yards per game this season
4.6 receptions per game this season
46 yards vs. New York on January 8

Eagles defensive stats to know

4th-most rushing yards allowed per game to QBs

Giants who can take advantage

Daniel Jones

46.2 rushing yards per game this season
9.2 carries per game over the last five games
169 rushing yards over the last two games
26 rushing yards vs. Philadelphia on December 11

Griffin's recommendation: Dallas Goedert's yards

Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills

Bengals defensive stats to know

4th-most passing yards allowed per game last 10 games
7th-most yards allowed per game to TEs this season
5th-most receptions allowed per game to TEs

Bills who can take advantage

Josh Allen

272.6 passing yards per game this season

Dawson Knox

37.9 yards per game over the last 10 games
4.7 targets per game over the last 10 games
3.6 receptions per game over the last five games

Bills defensive stats to know

10th-most yards allowed per game to WRs this season
4th-most touchdowns allowed to WRs

Bengals who can take advantage

Ja'Marr Chase

91.8 yards per game over the last 10 games
12.8 targets per game over the last five games
10 touchdowns this season
29 red zone targets this year

Tee Higgins

62.7 yards per game this season
7.1 targets per game over the last 10 games
Seven touchdowns this season
12 red zone targets this year

Tyler Boyd

46.4 receiving yards per game this season
4.7 targets per game over the last 10 games
Five touchdowns this season
10 red zone targets this year

Griffin's recommendation: Ja'Marr Chase yards and TD

Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers

Cowboys defensive stats to know

9th-most passing yards allowed per game last 10 games
7th-most yards allowed per game to WRs this season
10th-most receptions allowed per game to WRs
Most touchdowns allowed to WRs

49ers who can take advantage

Brock Purdy

249 yards per game over the last five games

Deebo Samuel

54.6 receiving yards per game this season
4.4 receptions per game this season
7.5 targets per game over the last 10 games
Six touchdowns this year
21 red zone targets this year

Brandon Aiyuk

60.4 yards per game this season
4.5 receptions per game this season
6.4 targets per game over the last 10 games
Eight touchdowns this year
16 red zone targets this year

49ers defensive stats to know

3rd-most passing yards allowed per game last 10 games
5th-most yards allowed per game to WRs this season
7th-most receptions allowed per game to WRs

Cowboys who can take advantage

Dak Prescott

257.4 passing yards per game over the last 10 games

CeeDee Lamb

87.1 yards per game over the last 10 games
Three 100+ yard games over the last five
8.9 targets per game over the last 10 games
6.9 receptions per game over the last 10 games

Michael Gallup

33.5 yards per game over the last 10 games
5.7 targets per game over the last 10 games
3.2 receptions per game over the last 10 games

Griffin's recommendation: Brandon Aiyuk yards and TD

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