NFL player prop betting guide for Wild Card Weekend
To me, this is one of the most exciting football weekends of the year. We have six games to take in: two on Saturday, three on Sunday, and one on Monday night. Here at Yardbarker, we want to put the research back into the hands of the reader.
To do that, we'll be offering up a variety of resources, the first of which is a player prop betting guide for all the NFL action during Wild Card Weekend.
Consider this a cheat sheet of quick-hitting notes on potential defensive vulnerabilities for each team. At the bottom of each matchup, I'll offer up the spot that looks best to me, but I encourage you to take in everything and roll with what speaks to you!
Seattle at San Francisco
Seahawks defensive stats to know
- 5th-most rushing yards allowed last 10 games
- 7th-most touchdowns allowed to RBs this season
- Most yards allowed per game to TEs this season
49ers who can take advantage
Christian McCaffrey
- 87.8 rushing yards per game over the last five games
- 108 rushing yards vs. Seattle on Dec. 15
- Touchdown in six straight games, including vs. Seattle on Dec. 15
George Kittle
- 51 yards per game this season
- 93 yards vs. Seattle on Dec. 15
- 104.7 yards/game vs. Seattle over the last three meetings
49ers defensive stats to know
- 5th-most passing yards allowed last 10 games
- 6th-most yards allowed per game to WRs this season
Seahawks who can take advantage
DK Metcalf
- 63 yards per game over the last 10 games
- 35 and 55 receiving yards in two games vs. San Francisco
Tyler Lockett
- 69 yards per game this season
- 87.5 yards per game in two meetings with San Francisco this season
Griffin's recommendation: George Kittle's receiving yards prop
Los Angeles at Jacksonville
Chargers defensive stats to know
- 3rd-most rushing yards allowed last 10 games
- 6th-most touchdowns allowed to RBs this season
Jaguars who can take advantage
Travis Etienne
- 15.2 carries per game over the last 10 games
- 71 rushing yards per game over the last 10 games
- 45 yards against Los Angeles on Sept. 25, but keep in mind that was with James Robinson on the roster
- Five touchdowns this season
Jaguars defensive stats to know
- 4th-most passing yards allowed last 10 games
- 4th-most touchdowns allowed to WRs this season
- 3rd-most yards allowed per game to TEs this season
Chargers who can take advantage
Keenan Allen
- 88.8 receiving yards per game over the last five games
- 100+ yards in two of his last three games
- 10.8 targets per game over the last five games
Joshua Palmer
- 52.9 receiving yards per game over the last 10 games
- 99 yards vs. Jacksonville on 9/25
Gerald Everett
- 5.4 targets per game this season
- 34.7 receiving yards per game this season
Griffin's recommendation: Keenan Allen's receiving yards, especially if Mike Williams is out
Miami at Buffalo
Dolphins defensive stats to know
- 4th-most touchdowns allowed to TEs this season
- 8th-most yards allowed per game to TEs this season
Bills who can take advantage
Dawson Knox
- 34.5 receiving yards per game this season
- 61.5 yards per game in two meetings with Miami
- Touchdown in four straight games, including against Miami on Dec. 17
Bills defensive stats to know
- 4th-most touchdowns allowed to WRs this season
- 7th-most yards allowed per game to WRs this season
Dolphins* who can take advantage
*Keep in mind that it's likely Skylar Thompson at quarterback this weekend. Tua Tagovailoa is out. That significantly caps the impact that Hill and Waddle can have.
Tyreek Hill
- 100.6 receiving yards per game this season
- 51 yards per game in two meetings with Buffalo
- Touchdown in six of last nine games, including against Buffalo on 12/17
Jaylen Waddle
- 79.8 receiving yards per game this season
- 108 yards per game in two meetings with Buffalo
- Nine touchdowns this season, including against Buffalo on 12/17
Griffin's recommendation: Dawson Knox's yards and touchdown
New York at Minnesota
Giants defensive stats to know
- 6th-most rushing yards allowed last 10 games
- 10th-most yards allowed per game to TEs this season
Vikings who can take advantage
Dalvin Cook
- 69 rushing yards per game this season
- 15.5 carries per game this season
- 64 yards vs. New York on Dec. 24
TJ Hockenson
- 58.8 yards per game over the last five games
- 109 yards vs. New York on Dec. 24
Vikings defensive stats to know
- 2nd-most passing yards allowed last 10 games
- 12th-most rushing yards allowed last 10 games
- Most yards allowed per game to WRs this season
Giants who can take advantage
Darius Slayton
- 55.8 receiving yards per game over the last 10 games
- 79 yards vs. Minnesota on Dec. 24
Saquon Barkley
- 82 rushing yards per game this season
- 84 rushing yards vs. Minnesota on Dec. 24
Griffin's recommendation: TJ Hockenson's receiving yards
Baltimore at Cincinnati
Ravens defensive stats to know
- 5th-most yards allowed per game to WRs this season
Bengals who can take advantage
Ja'Marr Chase
- 87.2 receiving yards per game this season
- 115.5 receiving yards per game in the last four meetings vs. Baltimore
- 11.2 targets per game this season
Tee Higgins
- 64.3 receiving yards per game this season
- 65.8 receiving yards per game in the last four meetings vs. Baltimore (7 total yards in two meetings this season)
- 6.9 targets per game this season
Tyler Boyd
- 47.6 yards per game this season
- 51.8 receiving yards per game in the last four meetings vs. Baltimore
- 5.1 targets per game this season
Bengals defensive stats to know
- 8th-most passing yards allowed* last 10 games
- 7th-most yards allowed per game to TEs this season
*It's currently unknown if Lamar Jackson will be available this weekend, though it's trending towards him not playing.
Ravens who can take advantage
Mark Andrews
- 56.5 receiving yards per game this season
- 87.3 receiving yards per game in the last three meetings vs. Cincinnati
- 7.5 targets per game this season
Griffin's recommendation: Ja'Marr Chase's receiving yards
Dallas at Tampa Bay
Cowboys defensive stats to know
- 9th-most rushing yards allowed last ten games
- Most touchdowns allowed to WRs this season
- 10th-most yards allowed per game to WRs this season
Buccaneers who can take advantage
Leonard Fournette
- 41.8 rushing yards per game this season
- 127 yards vs. Dallas in Week 1
- 9.4 carries per game over the last ten games
Rachaad White
- 41 rushing yards per game over the last 10 games
- 10.3 carries per game over the last 10 games
Mike Evans
- 74.9 receiving yards per game this season
- 71 receiving yards vs. Dallas in Week 1
- 9.5 targets per game over the last 10 games
- Six touchdowns this year, including Week 1 vs. Dallas
Chris Godwin
- 68.2 receiving yards per game this season
- 35 receiving yards vs. Dallas in Week 1
- 9.8 targets per game over the last 10 games
- Three touchdowns this year
Buccaneers defensive stats to know
N/A. Only defense to not rank favorably for any of the above metrics that may help us project player prop success.
Griffin's recommendation: Mike Evans TD
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