NFL Week 14 'Beat the Line' moves
We picked up two more winners last week in our "Beat the Line" series, bringing our season record to 21-17-1 against the spread. We've been even more successful at creating closing line value, as we've given ourselves CLV in 24 of our 39 early bets. Let's keep it rolling with our three favorite picks for NFL Week 14.
2023 record: 24-9-6 CLV, 21-17-1 ATS
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts
It's become clear through 13 weeks that Shane Steichen is a fantastic NFL head coach. The Colts are now 7-5 despite losing starting quarterback Anthony Richardson for the season and missing starting running back Jonathan Taylor for multiple weeks. Gardner Minshew continues to impress under center, so we're trusting a proven offense over a unit that will still be battling growing pains with rookie quarterback Jake Browning.
The Bengals are likely to get blown out by the Jacksonville Jaguars on "Monday Night Football" as 10-point underdogs, and that result should cause this number to move toward the Colts.
The bet to make: Colts -2.5 (-110 DraftKings)
Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
This isn't the same Browns team that we watched for most of the year. Cleveland has given up at least 29 points in three of its last four games. The Browns just surrendered 36 points and 399 total yards to the Los Angeles Rams in their Week 13 loss, and the Jaguars offense is humming with 834 yards and 58 points over the last two weeks.
On the other side of the ball, Joe Flacco moved the ball much better than most expected in his debut. Flacco threw for 254 yards and two touchdowns against the Rams, and that was without Amari Cooper on the field for the second half. The betting market hasn't adjusted to this new version of the Browns.
The bet to make: Over 36.5 (-110 DK)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles
What a "Sunday Night Football" matchup we have in store for Week 14. The first meeting between the Cowboys and Eagles this year finished with 51 points, but it should've been more considering Dallas racked up 406 yards of offense on 5.8 yards per play. The Cowboys offense has exploded since then with an average of 42 points per game over the last four weeks, and they should be able to torch an Eagles defense that just let the San Francisco 49ers waltz to seven straight touchdown drives in Week 13.
Philadelphia's floor on offense is so high, too, so this over is going to take money all week. Grab it now before it goes up even more.
The bet to make: Over 52.5 (-110 FanDuel)
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