NFL Week 6 'TNF' player props: Check out these Chiefs on Thursday
The Denver Broncos have been one of the kindest defenses to bet against this season, and there's no reason to expect that changes here on "Thursday Night Football" against the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Broncos are one of those teams that can't stop anything, which makes it a bit simpler on our end. No need to pick and choose between rushing or passing production, there's very likely going to be room for both.
For that reason, we're turning to a pair of Chiefs to have themselves a solid night to begin our Week 6 bets.
Justin Watson over 20.5 receiving yards (+120 DraftKings w/ 50% boost)
I've looked Justin Watson's way a few times this year and he continues to deliver. Know this now, Watson isn't on the field very much. He's out there for about 45% of the offensive snaps on a given day.
Despite that, his role is very clear: he's this team's deep threat. He's averaging 22.0 yards per catch, a 23.3 average depth of target (aDOT) and of his 16 targets, nine have come 20+ yards down the field.
We're getting all of that, and his receiving yardage line is still only 20.5. Based on the numbers, we only need one catch out of this guy!
In five games this year, Watson is averaging 43.8 yards per game, flying over this 20.5 line in four out of five games.
I forgot we haven't even mentioned this Denver defense. The Broncos are allowing the fifth-most 20+ yard passes per game and the highest yards per pass attempt. Translation: deep threats are toasting this team. Take Watson with confidence.
Isiah Pacheco 60+ yards & TD (+114 FanDuel)
I'd love better odds on this combo, but such is the case of things when you're betting on running backs against the Broncos.
Through five weeks, Denver has allowed the most yards per rush attempt at 5.9, and the most rushing yards per game to running backs at 164.2. Oh, and by the way, they're allowing the most touchdowns to running backs.
So, when you lay it out like that, doesn't 60+ yards and a TD seem more than reasonable? Pacheco is the clear top back on this Kansas City offense and should see plenty of work in this one. By all means, go for a higher yardage output; he's seen 15+ carries in three straight games.
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