NFL Week 11 touchdown prop targets
Last week's touchdown prop target article once again delivered some winners, and we hope you built yourself a fruitful combination. We're back again with 10 positional groups in good-looking spots for scores.
Some of these teams and groups are in timeshares, have injuries impacting what to expect, or a mixture of the two. We've noted such spots, so be sure to keep an eye on injury reports before placing a TD bet in Week 11.
Chicago Bears RBs/WRs vs. Atlanta
Why they're here: After ranking inside the top 10 of most touchdowns allowed to running back and wide receivers last season, the Falcons have maintained that vulnerability. The Falcons have allowed the sixth-most TDs to RBs and third-most scores to WRs.
Volume leaders:
- David Montgomery*: 115 carries, 17 targets, 21 red zone (RZ) looks
- Darnell Mooney: 56 targets, 7 RZ looks
- Chase Claypool**: 8 targets, 0 RZ looks
* Khalil Herbert is now out for the year, Montgomery will no longer be in a timeshare with Herbert
** Claypool second on team in targets since joining Chicago two weeks ago
Atlanta Falcons RBs vs. Chicago
Why they're here: Chicago is second in the NFL in touchdowns allowed to running backs with 14 total.
Volume leaders:
- Tyler Allgeier: 102 carries, 9 targets, 18 RZ looks
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 76 carries, 9 targets, 15 RZ looks
- Caleb Huntley: 69 carries, 19 RZ looks
Baltimore Ravens RBs vs Carolina
Why they're here: Carolina has allowed 13 touchdowns to running backs this season, tied for fourth-most.
Volume leaders:
- Kenyan Drake: 73 carries, 11 targets, 17 RZ looks
- Gus Edwards (in two games): 27 carries, 6 targets, 4 RZ looks
Buffalo Bills RBs vs. Cleveland
Why they're here: The Browns have allowed the most touchdowns to RBs this season with 15 total.
Volume leaders:
- Devin Singletary: 92 carries, 37 targets, 24 RZ looks
- James Cook: 33 carries, 12 targets, 9 RZ looks
Washington Commanders RBs vs. Houston
Why they're here: Houston is tied for second-most TDs to running backs with 14. This was an issue for their defense last year as well, allowing 18 in 2021.
Volume leaders:
- Antonio Gibson: 103 carries, 41 targets, 24 RZ looks
- Brian Robinson: 93 carries, 4 targets, 14 RZ looks
New York Jets TEs vs. New England
Why they're here: The Patriots have allowed the most touchdowns to tight ends this season at 7, tied with two other teams.
Volume leaders:
- Tyler Conklin: 50 targets, 4 RZ looks
- CJ Uzomah: 11 targets, 0 RZ looks
New York Giants RBs vs. Detroit
Why they're here: A year after allowing 18 touchdowns to RBs, the Lions have been just as generous. The Lions are tied for sixth-most TDs allowed to running backs.
Volume leaders:
- Saquon Barkley: 198 carries, 36 targets, 27 RZ looks
- Matt Breida: 29 carries, 8 targets, 7 RZ looks
Cincinnati Bengals WRs vs. Pittsburgh
Why they're here: No team has allowed more touchdowns to wide receivers than Pittsburgh at 13 total.
Volume leaders:
- Tee Higgins: 58 targets, 7 RZ looks
- Tyler Boyd: 49 targets, 5 RZ looks
Los Angeles Chargers WRs vs. Kansas City
Why they're here: The Chiefs have allowed 12 touchdowns to WRs, tied for second-most in the league. Last year, Kansas City allowed 19 scores to wideouts.
Volume leaders:
- Mike Williams*: 59 targets, 10 RZ looks
- Josh Palmer: 58 targets, 6 RZ looks
- DeAndre Carter: 38 targets, 5 RZ looks
- Keenan Allen*: 6 targets, 1 RZ look
*Keenan Allen and Mike Williams both have been practicing this week, but both players statuses worth monitoring before placing a bet here.
Kansas City Chiefs RBs vs. LA Chargers
Why they're here: The Chargers have allowed 13 touchdowns to running backs, tied for fourth-most. Last season, Los Angeles allowed 19 TDs to RBs.
Volume leaders:
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire*: 69 carries, 23 targets, 17 RZ looks
- Jerick McKinnon: 33 carries, 33 targets, 16 RZ looks
- Isiah Pacheco: 60 carries, 3 targets, 9 RZ looks
*Based on snap counts, CEH's role is decreasing rapidly in favor of Pacheco and McKinnon
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