NFL Week 18: Four Sunday player props
It seems only right if we find us some strong player prop plays to wrap up the NFL regular season Sunday. We have a strong intersection between defensive vulnerabilities and teams with something still to play for. That powers these four spots on Sunday, all looking great for Week 18.
Kenneth Walker over 59.5 rushing yards (-110 ESPN)
The Seahawks need to beat the Cardinals and have the Packers lose to clinch a playoff spot, so we certainly should have no concerns about the motivation levels out of Seattle on Sunday.
Walker dealt with an injury in Week 17 that kept him out of practice on Wednesday, but by the end of the week he was a full participant, and thus is expected to start and see the bulk of carries for this backfield.
That's a beautiful spot to be against an Arizona run defense allowing the most yards per game to running backs and the fourth-highest yards per rush.
Walker has loved seeing the Cardinals, averaging 103.7 rushing yards per game in three meetings, finishing with no less than 97 in any matchup.
When Seattle wins, they tend to lean on Walker, who is over this line in seven of the past eight Seahawks victories. Expect 14+ attempts for Walker, which should be all he needs to hit this number.
Both Dallas WRs
1u: CeeDee Lamb over 92.5 yards and TD (+191 ESPN)
1u: Brandin Cooks over 39.5 yards and TD (+372 ESPN)
I played this last week against Detroit to success, and see no reason why we don't just run it back here against Washington. The Commanders come in allowing the second-highest yards per pass, the sixth-most passes of 20+ yards and DVOA grades their pass defense the worst in the NFL. For good measure, they're letting up the second-most touchdowns per game to WRs.
Dallas needs to win here to secure the NFC East, and they should be able to with ease, and it starts with these two WRs. Both are scoring and racking up the yards, and I'll gladly spread the net on each one doing it again.
Stefon Diggs over 59.5 receiving yards (-114 FanDuel)
Buffalo is on fire, and now they have a chance to win the AFC East with a win over Miami. To do so, I have to imagine they lean on Stefon Diggs, who has been far too quiet of late.
This is a good chance for him to pop, as the Dolphins are allowing the ninth-most receptions per game to WRs and dealing with some injuries to their defense which should open things up for Buffalo on offense.
Diggs has a 5.5 receptions line for this weekend. Let's conservatively project him to catch 5+ balls here. When he does, he's over this line in 32 of his last 36 games, averaging 91.5 yards per game.
He's hit 60+ yards in five of his last six against Miami, including back-to-back games with 114+ yards. It's time for the Bills WR1 to have himself a night.
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