Sunday Six-Pack: Week 14 NFL betting guide
Week 14 in the NFL is upon us, and with it comes our favorite six plays. It's been a solid week of hunting trends and finding value spots, and the only thing left to do is recap the work.
Yuck, Week 13 went just 2-4 here, moving our record this season to 38-34. We can and will do better, and that starts this Sunday.
Bring on the points: Indianapolis-Cincinnati over 44 points (-110 DK)
All week long, these two offenses came up. The Colts showed up in every form, this Bengals defense has not been able to stop the pass or run all season, and they've had a particular issue slowing down explosive plays.
The Bengals also popped up thanks to Indy's worsening run defense.
Rather than loading up some player props, perhaps the better play is simply back the over and bank on these defenses gifting both sides plenty of touchdowns.
Where there's receptions, there's yards: Drake London over 46.5 receiving yards (-114 FD)
Atlanta's Drake London came up this week thanks to Tampa Bay allowing the seventh-most receptions per game to WRs, among many other secondary deficiencies.
London has a heavily juiced receptions line at 3.5, so rather than go there, we turn to his yards. When London records 4+ catches, he's over this number in 11 straight games, averaging 72.6 across the 16 such games in his young career. London has 54 and 120 yards in his past two games against Tampa Bay.
He loves the Lions: Justin Fields over 57.5 rushing yards (-115 BetMGM)
This is a simple play. Justin Fields is fighting for his NFL career, which very likely will not continue in Chicago. That might be a welcomed development for the Detroit Lions, as Fields has 100+ rushing yards in three straight meetings.
Fields has 30 carries the past two games and should continue leaning on his legs, grab this over.
San Fran is rolling: Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing TDs (-136 FD)
Brock Purdy has tossed 11 touchdowns over the past four games, and in three meetings with the Seahawks, he's put up six total passing TDs.
That should continue here, as Seattle is allowing the eighth-most passing touchdowns per game and the ninth-most passing yards per game. This secondary has been an issue, and Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk are consistently scoring.
Desperation time: Buffalo +1 (-110 DK)
The Bills should not be slept on in the AFC. They're 6-6 yes, but this offense remains a strength, and in AFC playoff picture that has injured QBs left and right, Buffalo can most definitely make a push to the Wild Card here.
Off a bye, we'll take this team in a "now or never" game against a Kansas City team that just hasn't looked quite right the past few weeks.
Struggling secondary vs. scorching hot QB: Dallas Cowboys -3.5
This is just a mismatch here for the Philadelphia Eagles, playing in Dallas, a place they've lost five straight meetings. No quarterback is hotter than Dak Prescott right now, and he should be able to pick apart a seriously bad Eagles secondary.
Expect another monster game from Lamb, and Prescott should be good for another 3+ touchdowns on Sunday night to take (brief) control of the NFC East's top seed.
More must-reads: