NCAAB betting: 5 best bets for Tuesday's college basketball slate

I hope you were with us over the weekend as we went 3-2, another winning outcome for these best-bet articles (no losers yet). Yes, I was way off with Marquette and Auburn, but if you lose, you lose, it doesn't really matter if you are close, right.

Tonight (Tuesday) we have a pretty good slate of action across the major conferences, yes, that is including the Mountain West Conference this season. The MWC is tracking to get double the number of teams in the NCAA Tournament this season. 

Best Bets for Tuesday, Feb. 20

Connecticut Huskies @ Creighton Blue Jays
8:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports
Spread: Connecticut -2.5

The Huskies were dominant over the weekend, beating Marquette in a way reminiscent of their run to the championship last season. Now they are on the road, but is there really a reason to doubt the team that is a unanimous No. 1 right now. The basic numbers are in their favor too, they are 6-1 SU as a road favorite this season (5-2 ATS). I am more convinced by the way they beat Creighton at home, a game in which big man Donovan Clingan was not much of a factor off the bench.

Recommended Pick: Connecticut. Winning on the road is tough and the Huskies are probably overvalued but we still only need them to be one possession better than Creighton tonight. I think you have to take that bet (otherwise take Creighton to upset).

Baylor Bears @ BYU Cougars
9 p.m. ET, ESPN
Spread: BYU -4.5

BYU has acquitted itself pretty well in its first season in the Big 12. It got off to a rocky start (2-4 including a loss at Baylor), but the Cougars have rallied and most have them firmly in the NCAA Tournament, right now. Offense is the name of the game and I am leaning into their splits here; they score 13 ppg more at home and give up 7 ppg fewer at the Marriott Center. They can be in a position to salt away a win at home against the Bears. When they win at home (just a couple of losses), no program has been within six points. 

Recommended Pick: BYU. I do hope we get this number lower to something like three but I like the home side with revenge. 

San Diego State Aztecs @ Utah State Aggies
9 p.m. ET, Fubo
Spread: Utah State -2.5 

Massive game in the Mountain West Conference tonight. These are the top two teams in the standings at 9-4, and a win by San Diego State might lock it up given the fact that the Aztecs won the earlier meeting between these two programs. SDSU is again one of the better defensive teams in the country, but when the market has the Aztecs as an underdog you should probably listen, as they are 2-4 SUATS in that role this season. The Aggies are more balanced, and they made 50% of their two's the first time these teams met. They could not connect from deep but they should shoot it better at home. 

Recommended Pick: Utah State. The Aztecs are the team everyone remembers but these teams are pretty even, especially in conference play. The home side within a possession to win is the play.