2026 ACC Championship odds updated after Week 10

The latest ACC Championship odds, via Polymarket, are here after Week 10 of the college football regular season. There are some clear favorites and wise predictions from traders, but anything can happen with four games to go!

Miami is the clear favorite despite a loss to Notre Dame with three games left to play in the regular season. But, it could be anyone’s race for the No. 2 spot in the ACC, but mostly it’s Wake Forest’s spot to lose!

Without further ado, let’s dive into the latest odds for the 2026 ACC Championship Game, via Polymarket. We’ll start with the team that has no shot now, per the outlet.

Virginia – 0%

Virginia has no shot at the ACC Championship game despite making it last year and falling to Duke. Man, they were so close to the College Football Playoff last year and they’re basically in the ACC basement this season. 

In the basement based on the odds anyway. UVA is 4-5 this year and last played on Halloween when they lost 51-7 to Wake Forest. The Cavaliers finish with Cal, UNC and Virginia Tech the next three weeks.

Syracuse – 0%

Syracuse fell to 4-5 after losing to Clemson on Saturday and Fran Brown and crew need to win two of their last three games to get to a bowl game. In fact, it might need to happen over the next two weeks.

Syracuse heads to NC State this weekend and then to Boston College on November 21st. The Orange finish the regular season with Notre Dame at home. Buckle up folks!

Stanford – 0%

Stanford was blasted by Louisville back on Halloween and are 4-5 with three games to play. They won’t be playing for an ACC Championship either, but Tavita Pritchard is still trying to get his team to bowl eligibility.

The season ends with Virginia Tech, rival Cal and then SMU on November 28th. It seems like they’d be neck and neck with Cal, but the other games will feature Stanford as an underdog per Polymarket.

North Carolina – 0%

Bowl eligibility is still there for North Carolina and Bill Belichick but the ACC Championship is not. The Tar Heels nearly knocked off Miami on Halloween but followed it up with a 38-21 win over UConn.

UNC is no doubt better than last year, so that bodes well for Belichick and crew. The Tar Heels end with Louisville, Virginia and NC State, so seven wins looks possible to end the regular season!

Georgia Tech – 0%

Georgia Tech is coming off a brutal loss to the Louisville Cardinals and there’s no shot at the ACC Championship Game. The 44-17 loss also ended any bowl eligibility hopes as the Yellow Jackets are now 2-7 on the season. 

Brent Key is going to have some big decisions over the course of the offseason. That’s of course, as long as he is still there. You never know with these administrations and their college football coaches at this point!

Florida State – 0%

The Seminoles got a win over Boston College over the weekend and are two wins away from bowl eligibility, despite firing head coach MIke Norvell. As far as where the coaching search could go, that’s anyone’s guess.

The ACC Championship Game is out of the question, but beating two of Pitt, NC State and Florida might not be. We know those rivalry games can get quite weird during the final week of the season.

Cal – 0%

Cal was 3-6 heading into a bye week after Halloween and are out of the ACC Championship running. The Golden Bears finish the season with Virginia, Stanford and Pittsburgh.

It’s a manageable schedule the rest of the way, but hoping this team strings together three straight wins might be asking a lot at this point. They’ll need it to be bowl eligible.

Boston College – 0%

Boston College fell to 4-5 on the season and joined the crew that has zero shot at the ACC Championship Game. The Eagles lost 31-24 to Florida State, so now it’s about trying to get bowl eligible the rest of the way.

Bill O’Brien and crew will travel to Notre Dame this weekend, so more than likely, the Eagles will have to beat Syracuse to have a shot at a bowl in the final week. The problem is, they’re playing Miami.

Virginia Tech – 1%

Things could’ve been very interesting for Virginia Tech, but the Hokies were blasted by SMU 51-28 on Friday night. Now at 6-3, James Franklin and crew can still have a strong end to the season, but winning the ACC Championship might be out of the question.

Virginia Tech has to host Stanford, go to Miami and then host Virginia. Going 8-4 seems reasonable, but 9-3 with a win over the top team in the conference? It’s going to be tough.

Pitt – 1%

Pitt improved to 6-3 with a 34-11 win over Georgia Tech, keeping their ever so slim ACC Championship hopes alive. The Panthers would need a lot of help though based on the tiebreakers. 

Pitt will end with three straight conference games, so beating Florida State, Louisville and Cal could do something. Who knows if they would even have a realistic shot at an extra game at that point, but it’s fun to imagine.

NC State – 1%

NC State got clobbered by Duke over the weekend 41-3 and despite firing Dave Doeren and the season seemingly over, Polymarket still gives the Wolfpack a 1% chance to win the ACC Championship. Don’t get crazy though.

The good news right now is that it seems like NC State is about hire Philip Rivers. The former QB and NC State legend seems like boom or bust potential for the future of the football program.

Duke – 1%

Duke won the ACC Championship last year, but they are among the 1 percenters, as in, really no shot to win the game this year. They dominated NC State 41-3 over the weekend and are a quiet 7-2! 

But the rest of the schedule contains Miami, Clemson and Wake Forest. Miami and Wake Forest are the top two teams in the conference and Polymarket doesn’t like the Blue Devils’ chances the rest of the way.

Clemson – 1%

Clemson and Dabo Swinney improved to 6-3 after a sloppy win over Syracuse, 18-13, on the road. It’s going to take a lot for the Tigers to get to the ACC Championship Game, but if they beat Georgia Tech and Duke, there could be an outside shot with a lot of help.

Swinney and crew want to end on a high note and if they can win out, especially beating what could be a ranked South Carolina team at the end of the year, there might be a solid postseason game available to the Tigers!

Louisville – 3%

The Cardinals are currently sitting at 6-3 on the season following a 44-17 victory over Georgia Tech over the weekend. The chances at winning the ACC Championship are low, but they are not zero!

The Cardinals would have to win the next two games against North Carolina and Pittsburgh to have a chance, since they end the year with a non-conference game against rival Kentucky. Heck, winning out might give them an outsider’s chance at the CFP among a lot of three-loss teams.

SMU – 5%

SMU still has a puncher’s chance at the ACC Championship Game this season. At 5%, they have the third best odds amongst the conference competitors, per Polymarket. But, it’ll be a tall task to get back to that game for the first time since 2024.

SMU has to take on Wake Forest, which has been hot, this coming weekend. The Mustangs have a non-conference tilt against Notre Dame the week after and will conclude with Stanford. They can turn the ACC on its head if they beat the Demon Deacons.

Wake Forest – 29%

The Demon Deacons’ lone loss of the season is to Miami, who they very well could see in the ACC Championship Game. Those two squads have the best odds, per Polymarket, to make it to the conference title game.

To finish off the year, Wake Forest takes on SMU, Georgia Tech and Duke. They’ll be favored in all three and could lock up a playoff spot at 11-1, depending upon the rest of the landscape.

Miami – 68%

Despite suffering their first loss of the season, Miami lost to Notre Dame in non-conference play. The Hurricanes are still a massive favorite to win the ACC Championship this year.

For their final three games, Miami hosts Duke, Virginia Tech and Boston College to end the year. They will be favored and should be able to finish 11-1, setting them up for the conference little game.

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