2026 SEC Championship odds updated after Week 10

The latest SEC Championship odds, via Polymarket, are here after Week 10 of the college football regular season. There are some clear favorites and wise predictions from traders, but anything can happen with four games to go!

Georgia and Alabama are predicted to rematch in Atlanta for the SEC Championship, but others like Texas and Tennessee  are right in the running. The rest of November will tell a lot about this conference.

Without further ado, let’s dive into the latest odds for the 2026 SEC Championship Game, via Polymarket. We’ll start with the teams that have no shot now, per the outlet.

Vanderbilt – 0%

Despite having no shot at winning the SEC Championship Game, Vanderbilt beat Mississippi State 25-23 on the road this weekend. The Commodores are now 4-5 but still have to scrape together two wins in their final three to become bowl eligible.

That;s going to be extremely difficult given the final three opponents. Vandy has to host Alabama this weekend before traveling to Florida and then hosting Tennessee. Clark Lea will have some work to do in the offseason.

Texas A&M – 0%

Texas A&M made the College Football Playoff last year and nearly made the SEC Championship. There is no shot of either this season as they fell 17-9 to South Carolina and are now 4-5 under Mike Elko in 2026.

Now, the Aggies need two wins out of their next three games against Tennessee, Oklahoma and Texas. That’s no easy task and there could be some shakeups coming in the offseason down in College Station.

Mississippi State – 0%

Mississippi State hasn’t been the same since they lost QB Kamario Taylor for the season. Over the weekend, the Bulldogs fell to 4-5 on the year with a 25-23 loss to Vanderbilt at home.

Both teams have no shot at winning the SEC Championship Game now. Mississippi State and Jeff Lebby need two wins in their final three games against Auburn, Tennessee Tech and Ole Miss to become bowl eligible.

Arkansas – 0%

Arkansas is also out of the SEC Championship race following their 26-23 loss to Auburn over the weekend. They fell 26-23 on the road and now Ryan Silverfield’s team needs to win out in order to become bowl eligible in Year 1 under his watch.

That’ll prove mighty difficult considering the final three games of the season. They are: home against South Carolina, at Texas and home against LSU. Good luck to all of those in Fayetteville.

South Carolina – 1%

South Carolina still has a chance at the SEC Championship folks! Even at 6-3 on the season and fresh off a win over Texas A&M, 17-9, it’s still a longshot though, per Polymarket.

Still, the Gamecocks have turned their season around in recent weeks. They will finish up November with Arkansas, Georgia and Clemson. They should be favored in two of those three and with an upset win over Georgia, things could get very interesting.

Oklahoma – 1%

Oklahoma got to 5-4 on the season with a win over Florida but still has a less than 2% chance to win the SEC Championship, per traders on Polymarket. Still, the Sooners somehow have a win over rival Texas this year too.

The rest of the year features Ole Miss, which got dominated by Georgia over the weekend, Texas A&M and Missouri to finish out the year. There are some winnable games left!

Missouri – 1%

Missouri fell to 6-3 on the season with a 34-20 loss to Texas. The SEC Championship hopes are basically gone, as well as their chances at the College Football Playoff. But there could be a lot of chaos in the final three weeks.

Missouri has to play Georgia, Kentucky and Oklahoma the rest of the way. Those first two games feature ranked opponents, so they could really throw the conference for a loop should they pull off some upsets.

Florida – 1%

Florida has been very Jekyll and Hyde this season, looking like a world beater and then all of a sudden not being totally clear on what’s going on. In this week’s case, they don’t know what’s going on.

Say goodbye to those SEC Championship hopes after the Gators lost 23-7 at home to Oklahoma. Florida is now 5-4 with games against Kentucky, Vanderbilt and Florida State left to go.

Auburn – 1%

Auburn still has a slim shot at the SEC Championship, but no one is really going to expect them to make it to Atlanta. The Tigers did win though, beating Arkansas 26-23 over the weekend to improve to 5-4.

The Tigers finish with Mississippi State, Samford and Alabama. While the Crimson Tide would be a heavy favorite at the end of the year, it’s the Iron Bowl and anything can happen. Is 8-4 reasonable?

Ole Miss – 2%

Ole Miss looked like one of the best teams in the country at the start of the season, but now at 6-3, it looks totally different for the rebels. A 42-7 loss to Georgia all but ended their SEC Championship and CFP hopes.

Crazier things have happened, but Ole Miss has major catching up to do if they have any shot at this point. The Rebels will finish the regular season with Oklahoma, Wofford and Mississippi State across the final three weeks.

LSU – 2%

LSU’s SEC Championship hopes are pretty much over based on the Polymarket odds going into the final three weeks of the regular season. The Tigers could’ve been set up nicely after Saturday, but their 13-10 lead turned into a 31-13 loss to Alabama.

The rest of the schedule, should they win out, might actually give LSU a compelling playoff case as one of the last teams in: vs. Texas, at Tennessee and at Arkansas. If carnage continues, you never know.

Kentucky – 3%

Kentucky’s Cinderella run isn’t quite over yet, but their SEC Championship hopes took a major hit with a 34-6 loss to Tennessee on the road. Kenny Minchey threw for just 224 yards and an interception as there was a severe lack of offense.

Kentucky has a tough end to their schedule as they will play Florida, Missouri and rival Louisville. The team is still capable of winning out and getting to 10-2, but they’ll have to see how the rest of the conference plays out.

Tennessee – 6%

Tennessee made sure to make a statement on Saturday by dominating Kentucky. The Vols kept themselves in the SEC Championship race with a 34-6 win in Knoxville to improve to 7-2 on the season.

The rest of the way? Well, Tennessee heads to Texas A&M, hosts LSU and then goes to Vanderbilt. If they win out, don’t forget the Vols have a head to head win over Alabama. That could be a major factor.

Texas – 8%

Texas is a distant third in the SEC Championship odds right now but are coming off a strong victory over Missouri on the road. It was back and forth early, but the Longhorns pulled away in the second half.

Arch Manning threw for 297 yards and three touchdowns while Raleek Brown had 85 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Texas has a big one this weekend, going to LSU and then they’ll host Arkansas and travel to Texas A&M.

Alabama – 25%

The Crimson Tide had a great fourth quarter and beat LSU 31-13 in Baton Rouge. They have the second highest percentage to win the SEC Championship, per Polymarket, at 7-2 on the season behind Georgia.

Keelon Russell threw for 206 yards and three touchdowns in the victory. The Crimson Tide have to play Vanderbilt, Chattanooga and Auburn to finish out the season, with all eyes on the Iron Bowl.

Georgia – 57%

Georgia is still the SEC Championship favorite, per Polymarket. They are coming off a 42-7 trouncing of Ole Miss to show who the big dogs are, within the conference. No pun intended of course!

Gunner Stockton threw for 186 yards and four touchdowns in this one. Nate Frazier added 16 carries for 107 yards in the win. Georgia finishes up with Missouri, South Carolina and Georgia Tech.

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