CFP championship odds: How to bet Michigan vs. Washington

Congrats to Michigan and Washington for winning their semifinal matchups. Congrats to me too for nailing both outcomes (Michigan -1.5 and Washington +4).

Now we have a championship game matchup on Monday, Jan. 8 featuring no SEC teams and two teams that will be in the Big Ten next year. Is that a sign of things changing? Maybe? Possibly with Texas and Alabama soon be conference mates in the SEC.

Before you scroll down, I have to admit, I did not see a ton of either game because I was traveling — Happy New Year everyone!

I do have some early betting thoughts, of course.

Side: Washington +4

These teams were the only (and still) undefeated teams in the nation. I was surprised that Washington was an underdog last week against Texas and suggested dividing your stake between the spread and the moneyline with the Huskies. Right now, that would be my strategy for this game too. I have a hard time believing that either team should be favored by more than a field goal in this one and Washington, with their explosive offense is well suited to play catch-up if need be. Michael Penix Jr. has been so very good all season long. 

Total: Over 45.5

When the Huskies play good teams they tend to be pretty high-scoring affairs — both games against Oregon, a win over USC and Utah, and the semi-final win over Texas, all of those games went over the total. I am not sure what it is, but the Huskies sometimes get sleepy against weaker opponents like Cal and Arizona State. I am looking for them to be able to have success protecting their quarterback and making big plays through the air. Once they do, Michigan will be forced to open things up a little which gets us to a game in the 30s and the over. 

Prop: Ja'Lynn Polk Anytime TD (+205)

Polk had a chance to be more a part of the offense this season with fellow receiver Jalen McMillan missing time. He thrived too, posting 1,000 yards with eight touchdowns. He scored again in the semis against Texas and I see no reason why his pricing to score again in the championship game should not be the same as McMillan's (+155 and also a good bet). The pricing is off here so pounce.