Jaxson Dart's accuracy performance has him on the heels of the top QB in the 2025 NFL Draft

The Ole Miss Rebels almost reached the College Football Playoff in 2024 on the back of its powerful offense. Lane Kiffin and Jaxson Dart combined for a historically efficient tandem, and the Rebels were one win away from bringing their high-caliber unit to the 12-team tournament.

While things didn't work out as hoped, Dart set himself up to potentially be picked in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. Completing 69.3% of his passes for 4,279 yards, 29 touchdowns, and a jaw-dropping 10.8 yards per average attempt, no one matched Dart's analytical performance.

The measurement of accuracy goes beyond the raw numbers, and further helped Dart's case to be trusted as a starting NFL signal-caller. Recently, I ranked the top 10 quarterbacks in the 2025 NFL Draft by their accuracy. I combined my eye test to chart accurate and inaccurate passes, plus factored in precision and ball placement.

Dart finished No. 2 to Shedeur Sanders and ahead of Will Howard and Cameron Ward. Here's my breakdown.

"Jaxson Dart and Howard have eerily similar profiles as passers, but the main differences are that Dart routinely had a historic average depth of target and has a better physical skill set than Howard. 

While Howard's numbers beat some of Dart's, the latter's ability to drive the ball downfield and deliver catchable throws while under pressure separates him. Dart has good athleticism and a strong enough arm to be like Brock Purdy in the NFL.

Dart is reminiscent of 2024 first-round pick Bo Nix as a prospect in many ways. He played in a Mickey Mouse offense that generated easy looks, and Dart still wasn't the crispest decision-maker or ace at processing. However, when he did pull the trigger, the ball landed in an advantageous spot for his receivers at an above-average rate.

The biggest red flag for Dart and the reason he's still well below our No. 1 is his play under pressure. His adjusted completion rate when pressured is only above Cook and Rourke and historically in the range of most busts. His reaction to pressure often causes a meltdown of his mechanics, and he doesn't have the arm talent to overcome that."

While Dart has the ability to be a Brock Purdy-type starter in the NFL, there are also those key breakdowns that cast doubt as to whether he'll be a sustained playoff winner. In our recent 7-round 2025 NFL mock draft, he landed No. 21 to the Pittsburgh Steelers.