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Julian Sayin’s Heisman Campaign Bolsters Before Bye
USA Today Sports

Due to how Ohio State plays and the sheer overwhelming talent at just about every position, it may be difficult for a player on Ryan Day’s team to win college football’s most prestigious trophy. Day has been the head coach of the Buckeyes since 2019. In that time, Justin Fields, Chase Young, C.J. Stroud (twice), and Marvin Harrison Jr. made the trip to New York City as Heisman Trophy finalists. Fields and Stroud (2022) finished third, the current high-water mark for Day-coached players.

A staple of Day teams has been quarterback play. It’s telling that the worst single season from an Ohio State quarterback in this era went on to lead the country in passing after transferring out. He knows quarterbacks, and it’s time to start talking about the latest: redshirt freshman Julian Sayin.

To start the year, it looked like Day and offensive coordinator Brian Hartline were holding back and essentially putting training wheels on the offense with Sayin. As a redshirt freshman in his first season at the collegiate level, it only makes sense. Over the last few weeks, however, it’s looking more and more that those training wheels are gone and the offense is fully Sayin’s. The coaches are trusting him to go through his reads and even make plays out of structure.

In the win over Wisconsin, Sayin routinely picked apart the Badgers’ defense. He had six incompletions and only one could be considered an errant throw, while a few were underthrown (but catchable nevertheless).

Could the signal-caller from Carlsbad, California, be the Buckeyes’ third quarterback and eighth overall Heisman Trophy winner?

Julian Sayin’s Heisman Campaign

Sayin’s Growth Thus Far

In the Week 1 win over Texas, Ohio State didn’t ask Sayin to do much. He was the quintessential game manager and led the offense efficiently. While he finished the day 13-of-20 for 126 yards and one touchdown. That line is a tad misleading, as his receivers let him down a few times with crucial drops. It was also Brian Hartline’s first game as offensive playcaller, so he naturally pulled it back. Then, Sayin did what he was supposed to do against Grambling State. His game started off with 16 consecutive completed passes. His 17th pass was an interception in the endzone. Then, he completed his final two attempts before sitting down. Sayin paced the offense with 306 yards and four touchdowns.

To close out non-conference play, Sayin continued his impressive play. Against Ohio, he completed 25-of-32 passing for 347 yards and three touchdowns. The Bobcats’ secondary has allowed just under 206 yards per game through the air in all other contests. The one knock on Sayin was his two interceptions. The first interception was tipped at the line. The second was a freshman mistake, much like his interception against Grambling State. On first down, he faced a free rusher and tried to just let the ball go, but it found a Bobcat defensive lineman.

After the first bye, Sayin and the Buckeye offense locked in. In those four Big Ten games, Sayin threw for 1,093 yards and 11 touchdowns with no interceptions. Most impressively, he is currently completing 80.6% of his passes in Big Ten play.

Sayin has gone from just doing what he can to help the offense move the ball to fully taking over. He went from 20 passes against Texas to throwing it 42 times against Wisconsin. At every step, he’s been accurate and making big-time throws. His back-of-the-endzone toss to Brandon Inniss against the Badgers might be his best thus far.

“But They Ain’t Played Nobody Pawwwwwllllll”

Like clockwork, any praise of Ohio State is met with a comment along the lines of, “They haven’t played anyone.” On the one hand, fair. To the casual viewer, Grambling State, Ohio, Washington, Minnesota, Illinois, and Wisconsin are not impressive. Even Texas is in the public’s doghouse because Arch Manning hasn’t already engraved his name on the Heisman Trophy.

The Buckeyes’ opponents have, for the most part, been better against the pass against non-Ohio State teams:

Sayin Vs. Non-OSU Vs. P4
Texas 126 207.5 255.3
Grambling State 306 165.7 N/A
Ohio 347 206 215
Washington 208 239.3 278.3
Minnesota 326 173 227
Illinois 166 252.3 322.25
Wisconsin 393 219.5 287.5

Now that the year has progressed, Texas is obviously not the team we all imagined. However, Ohio State is benefiting from the potential SEC bias in the AP Poll, as Texas is currently ranked 22nd despite only one win over a team with a winning record. Looking back, Grambling State has been playing well. Yes, the Tigers play in the FCS, but holding all non-Ohio State opponents to 165.7 yards per game through the air is impressive.

In the Washington and Illinois wins, the Ohio State offense wasn’t quite as good as it should have been, so you can certainly highlight those as negatives. However, the highs are higher than the lows are low with Sayin throwing it.


USA Today Sports

The Road Ahead

Ohio State has five more games after this bye week, and only one looks good enough to worry about. Penn State is in a free fall. In the first year of the Jim Knowles defense, the Nittany Lions’ secondary has been decent, statistically. Through seven games, Penn State allows just 145 yards per game. However, only one of those offenses is good, and Oregon put up 248 yards. After Penn State, the Buckeyes travel to Purdue, which is still Purdue. This year, the Boilermakers have allowed 229.4 yards per game through the air. However, one really good performance weighs that down. In Big Ten (and Notre Dame) play, that number balloons to 263.4.

UCLA has been the talk of the town of late. On a three-game winning streak heading to Indiana, the Bruins have a new fire. The secondary has played well, averaging 178.8 yards per game overall and 172.8 in the Big Ten. At the same time, UCLA hasn’t faced an offense like Ohio State’s. Then, the Buckeyes get Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have struggled this year. Overall, Rutgers has allowed 261.3 yards per game. In the Big Ten, it’s been worse, with 311.8 yards per game…and that includes a game against Iowa.

Then, the true test. Michigan has been decent this year, but beatable. Nebraska lit up the Wolverines a few weeks ago; Ohio State can do so as well if it learned from last year. In the year, Michigan has allowed 215.1 yards per game through the air. In four Big Ten games, the Wolverines have allowed 239.8, including one game against Wisconsin, whose offense is beyond anemic.

Sayin’s road to New York is laid out in front of him. With five strong games against beatable opponents, he should be in the conversation.

It’ll Be Tough

With Day and Hartline heading the offense, it’s going to be incredibly difficult for Sayin – or any Ohio State quarterback, really – to win the Heisman. It’s just how it is.

That’s not to say an Ohio State quarterback cannot win it; Sayin has shown that he can play at a Heisman level. However, Ohio State quarterbacks are in quite possibly one of the most advantageous situations. Objectively, Sayin has the best weapons in the country. Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate could be argued as the top and second-best receivers in the nation. Behind them, pick your favorite five-star receiver. Sayin also has NFL-bound teammates at tight end and on the offensive line. He has had to overcome some disappointing play on the right side of the line, but “disappointing” at Ohio State might be incredible play elsewhere.

The “weapons merchant” allegations will be hard to shake. Sayin would need to finish the year with a legendary run to overcome it. Joe Burrow had the two best receivers in college football (and, later, the NFL) with Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson. He won in 2019 thanks to a ridiculous, record-breaking season.

Additionally, while the Heisman Trophy hype around the nation is not hot at this point in the year, it’s going to heat up. Sayin will have to beat out fellow Big Ten stars, Fernando Mendoza and Dante Moore. The SEC has some studs with Ty Simpson and Marcell Reed. At the same time, if Jeremiah Smith goes on a legendary run, he could be the one to be highlighted!

Sayin’s road to the Hiesman is set. It won’t be easy, but it’s there. Main Photo: Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

This article first appeared on Last Word On Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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