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Just as the sun rises in the East and sets in the West, No. 10 Miami (6-2) is fully engulfed in its annual November collapse under head coach Mario Cristobal. The fan base gains hope through the first two months just to see everything fall apart when the games really begin to matter. Not surprisingly, that continued yesterday with the Canes 26-20 overtime loss at SMU (6-3).

This year the Canes began their slide earlier than usual, with a 24-21 loss to Louisville on October 17th. They entered that game No. 2 in the country and were considered by many to be one of the legitimate contenders to make a run towards a national championship.

Two weeks later they are 2-2 in the ACC and on the outside looking in to even make the conference championship game. But that shouldn’t be surprising to anyone who has paid attention to the Canes since Cristobal took over prior to the 2022 season.

During this time, in the month of November, Miami is now 4-9 overall and 2-6 on the road. This is the month that cream tends to rise to the top, but instead the Canes have continuously fizzled into obscurity.

Unfortunately for the Canes, this is one of the odd November’s when they have five games. This includes two noticeably tricky matchups against NC State (5-4) and at Pittsburgh (7-2). Nobody around Coral Gables should be confident that Miami will navigate the rest of the regular season successfully. Which means the chances are much greater that the Canes will be playing in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl or Pop-Tarts Bowl than they are a college football playoff quarterfinal.

Until Cristobal changes this pattern, there is no reason to realistically think otherwise.

This article first appeared on Mike Farrell Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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