Bangladesh vs Pakistan 1st ODI Match Prediction - Who will win today's match between BAN vs PAK ODI match?

After their last ODI series victory against the West Indies, Bangladesh hosts Pakistan in a three-match ODI series. The first match of the series is scheduled to be played at Sher-e-Bangla National Cricket Stadium in Mirpur on Wednesday, 11th March. 

Bangladesh

Bangladesh must have gotten a morale boost with a series win against the West Indies last time out. They are set to return to cricketing action after missing out on the field for nearly three months. After missing out on the T20 World Cup, they will be eyeing the 2027 ODI World Cup with good preparations. Mehidy Hasan Miraz will be leading the side, and the squad features a blend of experienced and young players. Despite struggling with his form in the ODI setup, Litton Das has been included in the 15-member squad. The batting unit also includes Soumya Sarkar, Tanzid Hasan, Tawhid Hridoy, and Mahidul Islam Bhuiyan. Spin options for Bangladesh also include Afif Hossain and Rishad Hossain. Pace bowling attack will be led by Mustafizur Rahman and Taskin Ahmed.

Pakistan

Pakistan will be entering this series after having a terrible campaign in the 2026 T20 World Cup. They were knocked out from Super Eight stage. But they have a solid series-winning momentum on their back, winning their last ODI series against Sri Lanka. Before that, they had defeated South Africa in a three-match ODI series. The Pakistan selectors have made several major changes, including six potential debutants in the ODI squad against Bangladesh. Star batter Babar Azam and opener Saim Ayub are two notable names who will be missing the series. Hasan Nawaz, Mohammad Nawaz, and Naseem Shah, while Fakhar Zaman misses out due to injury. After a phenomenal campaign in the 2026 T20 World Cup, Sahibzada Farhan has been included in the squad. Abdul Samad, Ghazi Ghori, Saad Masood, Maaz Sadaqat, and Shamyl Hussain, all of whom could make their ODI debuts during the series. Shaheen Afridi will continue to lead Pakistan in the ODI format.

BAN vs PAK 1st ODI Match Details

BAN vs PAK 1st ODI Pitch Report

The surface in Mirpur has always favoured spinners over the years due to its slow and sluggish nature, which eventually makes batting a tough task in the second innings. Pacers will need to land the ball on a specific spot because of the low and sometimes inconsistent bounce; batters often need to spend some time at the crease to adjust their timing. Batters will need to play cautiously against the spin, and they will be able to post a good score after spending some time at the crease. The average first innings total in 2025 was just 238. 

BAN vs PAK 1st ODI Weather Report

The weather is expected to remain dry and humid throughout the entire match, with no chances of rain interruption in the match. The temperature will be around 27-30°C with a humidity of approximately 72%, making it feel slightly warmer. 

BAN vs PAK Head-to-Head Records

BAN vs PAK 1st ODI Probable XI

• Bangladesh: Soumya Sarkar, Litton Das (wk), Najmul Hossain Shanto, Tawhid Hridoy, Mahidul Islam Bhuiyan, Mehidy Hasan Miraz (c), Afif Hossain, Rishad Hossain, Mustafizur Rahman, Taskin Ahmed, Tanvir Islam. 

• Pakistan: Sahibzada Farhan, Shamyl Hussain, Mohammad Rizwan (wk), Abdul Samad, Salman Ali Agha, Maaz Sadaqat, Faheem Ashraf, Saad Masood, Haris Rauf, Shaheen Afridi (c), Abrar Ahmed.

Players To Watch Out For in the BAN vs PAK 1st ODI Match

• Mehidy Hasan Miraz | BAN: Bangladesh's prominent all-rounder in this format and backbone of the current batting lineup. He is one such player in the lineup who supports the team with both batting and bowling skills. In 114 matches of ODIs, he has scored 1790 runs and has taken 121 wickets as well. He is one such player to watch out for in this match.

• Sahibzada Farhan | PAK: This Pakistani top-order batter is currently in red-hot form. He will be coming into the ODI series after a brilliant campaign in the 2026 T20 World Cup, where he collected 383 in 6 innings. Despite a change in formats, Farhan remains intact with his batting form. He is yet to make his ODI debut in the format, but will be a player to watch out for. 

BAN vs PAK 1st ODI Toss Prediction

Historical Toss-Winning Stats at the Venue

• In the last three ODI matches played at this venue, the teams that won the toss have opted to bat on two occasions and bowl once. 

Advantages of Bowling First on This Pitch

• Sher-e-Bangla National Cricket Stadium has hosted a total of 123 ODI matches to date, in which batting first teams have won 58 matches, while the teams batting second have won 62 games. This trend suggests that teams should prefer to bowl first on this surface to get maximum benefits. 

BAN vs PAK ODI Today's Match Scenario

Scenario 1

• Toss Winner: Bangladesh (opts to bowl first)
• Power-Play Score: 40-45
• PAK Total: 220-240
• Match Winner: Bangladesh

Scenario 2

• Toss Winner: Pakistan (opts to bowl first)
• Power-Play Score: 45-52
• BAN Total: 240-260
• Match Winner: Pakistan

Who will win today's BAN vs PAK ODI match?

Pakistan has played some impressive ODI cricket lately, winning their last four matches. They have a solid momentum on their back, and they are expected to win the first ODI match of this series. However, Bangladesh might not be a consistent team, but they are a beast on the surface of Mirpur; they can give a tough fight in the match. But considering the form and squad of both teams, Pakistan is expected to win this match.