Grammy Odds 2025: Nominations, Predictions for the Awards

Who is favored to win at the 2025 Grammy Awards? Current betting odds have “Hit Me Hard and Soft” by Billie Eilish as the +145 favorite to win Album of the Year. Coming in right behind Eilish is “The Tortured Poets Department” by Taylor Swift, which has +195 odds to win Album of the Year.

This article breaks down the betting odds for the Grammy Awards, including Album of the Year, Song of the Year, Record of the Year, Best New Artist, and more.

The 2025 Grammy Awards will take place on Sunday, Feb. 2, at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. It will be broadcast on CBS and Paramount+. Grammy voters will vote on the artists who will take home the Grammy Awards on Music’s Biggest Night.

New to betting? Favorites have a minus (-) sign and the number indicates the money you would need to risk to win $100, whereas underdogs have a plus (+) sign and that number indicates the money you would win for every $100 bet.

Example: “Cowboy Carter” by Beyonce is +380 to win Album of the Year, which means you would net a $380 profit on a $100 bet if it wins. Learn more here.

All odds via FanDuel Ontario.

Grammy Odds 2025: Nominations, Predictions

Album of the Year Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Hit Me Hard and Soft (Billie Eilish)	+140	41.67%
The Tortured Poets Department (Taylor Swift)	+195	33.9%
Cowboy Carter (Beyonce)	+380	20.83%
Brat (Charli XCX)	+430	18.87%
The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess (Chappell Roan)	+750	11.76%
Short n’ Sweet (Sabrina Carpenter)	+1900	5%

Taylor Swift made history in 2024 by becoming the first four-time winner of the Grammy for Album of the Year. She’s looking to add a fifth trophy to her mantle this year with “The Tortured Poets Department,” which spent 12 weeks at No. 1 in the U.S. charts and sold more than 2 million copies in its first week. “The Tortured Poets Department” by Taylor Swift has +195 odds to win Album of the Year.

Beyoncé has famously never won Album of the Year despite her lengthy career of popularity and acclaim. She is the most nominated artist in Grammy history and has been nominated in 11 different categories. “Cowboy Carter” is her fourth Album of the Year nomination in a row and fifth overall. “Cowboy Carter” by Beyoncé has +380 odds to win Album of the Year.

The favorite in this category, however, is “Hit Me Hard and Soft” by Billie Eilish at +140 odds to win Album of the Year. Eilish won her first Album of the Year award in 2020 at the age of 18, and remains the youngest artist ever to win Album of the Year.

“Brat” by Charlie XCX has +430 odds to win Album of the Year. “The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess” by Chappell Roan has +750 odds to win Album of the Year. “Short n’ Sweet” by Sabrina Carpenter has +1900 odds to win Album of the Year.

Song of the Year Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Birds of a Feather (Billie Eilish)	-180	64.29%
Not Like Us (Kendrick Lamar)	+480	17.24%
Good Luck, Babe! (Chappell Roan)	+550	15.38%
Die with a Smile (Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars)	+750	11.76%
Texas Hold ‘Em (Beyonce)	+1300	7.14%
Fortnight (Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone)	+1400	6.67%

Taylor Swift holds the record for most nominations in the Song of the Year category, extending this record with an eighth nomination for the song “Fortnight” with Post Malone.

Swift is a longshot in this category, however, as she is +1400 to win the award.

The favorite is Billie Eilish for “Birds of a Feather” at -180. Behind her is “Not Like Us” by Kendrick Lamar at +480.

Other nominees include Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars for “Die with a Smile” at +750, and “Texas Hold ‘Em” by Beyonce at +1300.

Record of the Year Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Espresso (Sabrina Carpenter)	-160	61.54%
Not Like Us (Kendrick Lamar)	+430	18.87%
Birds of a Feather (Billie Eilish)	+750	11.76%
Now and Then (The Beatles)	+1000	9.09%
Good Luck, Babe! (Chappell Roan)	+1100	8.33%
Fortnight (Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone)	+1400	6.67%

Sabrina Carpenter is the favorite to win Record of the Year for her album, “Espresso.” Her odds are -160 to win Record of the Year.

Behind her are Kendrick Lamar for “Not Like Us” at +430 and “Birds of a Feather” by Billie Eilish at +750.

Other nominees include The Beatles for “Now and Then” at +1000, Chappell Roan for “Good Luck, Babe!” at +1100, and “Fortnight” by Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone at +1400.

Best New Artist Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Chappell Roan	-750	88.24%
Sabrina Carpenter	+1000	9.09%
Shaboozey	+1300	7.14%
Raye	+1600	5.88%
Benson Boone	+3100	3.13%
Teddy Swims	+3100	3.13%

Chappell Roan is a strong favorite to win the Grammy Award for Best New Artist. She is a 750 favorite to win the award.

Other nominees include Sabrina Carpenter at +1000, and Shaboozey (+1300), Raye (+1600), Benson Boone (+3100), and Teddy Swims (+3100).

Best Country Album Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Cowboy Carter (Beyonce)	-700	87.5%
Higher (Chris Stapleton)	+550	15.38%
Deeper Well (Kacey Musgraves)	+1900	5%
Whirlwind (Lainey Wilson)	+3100	3.13%
F-1 Trillion (Post Malone)	+3100	3.13%

Best Country Song Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Texas Hold ‘Em (Beyonce)	-210	67.74%
A Bar Song [Tipsy] (Shaboozey)	+280	26.32%
I Had Some Help (Post Malone ft. Morgan Wallen)	+900	10%
The Architect (Kacey Musgraves)	+2200	4.35%
I Am Not Okay (Jelly Roll)	+2400	4%

Best Dance/Electronic Album Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Brat (Charli XCX)	-1500	93.75%
Timeless (Kaytranda)	+1400	6.67%
Hyperdrama (Justice)	+1500	6.25%
Telos (Zedd)	+2400	4%
Three (Four Tet)	+3400	2.86%

Best Pop Solo Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Espresso (Sabrina Carpenter)	-430	81.13%
Birds of a Feather (Billie Eilish)	+500	16.67%
Good Luck, Babe! (Chappell Roan)	+750	11.76%
Bodyguard (Beyonce)	+3100	3.13%
Apple (Charlie XCX)	+3700	2.63%

Best Pop/Duo Group Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Die with a Smile (Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars)	-550	84.62%
Guess (Charlie XCX ft. Billie Eilish)	+750	11.76%
Beyonce (Beyonce ft. Post Malone)	+1100	8.33%
Us (Gracie Abrams ft. Taylor Swift)	+1600	5.88%
The Boy in Mine (Ariana Grande, Brandy and Monica)	+2600	3.7%

Best Rap Song Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Not Like Us (Kendrick Lamar)	-1500	93.75%
Like That (Future, Metro Boomin and Kendrick Lamar)	+1100	8.33%
Asteroids (Rapsody ft. Hit Boy)	+1300	7.14%
Yeah Glo! (GloRilla)	+3800	2.56%
Carnival (Kanye West and Ty Dolla $ign)	+4800	2.04%

Best Rock Album Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Saviors (Green Day)	-195	66.1%
Dark Matter (Pearl Jam)	+250	28.57%
Hackney Diamonds (Rolling Stones)	+1100	8.33%
Romance (Fontaines DC)	+1400	6.67%
No Name (Jack White)	+1600	5.88%
Tangk (Idles)	+2400	4%

Best Rock Song Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Broken Man (St. Vincent)	-430	81.13%
Dilemma (Green Day)	+340	22.73%
Dark Matter (Pearl Jam)	+1900	5%
Beautiful People [Stay High] (Black Keys)	+2400	4%
Gift Horse (Idles)	+3700	2.63%

Best Visual Media Score Odds

Nominee	Odds	Implied Probability
Dune: Part Two	-160	61.54%
Challengers	+160	38.46%
Shogun	+1400	6.67%
The Color Purple	+2400	4%
American Fiction	+3700	2.63%

Grammy Awards FAQ

When are the Grammys 2025?

The 2025 Grammys (67th Grammy Awards) are scheduled for the date of Feb. 2, 2025.

Where are the 2025 Grammy Awards held?

The 2025 Grammy Awards will be held at the Crypto Arena in Los Angeles.

Where to watch the Grammys 2025?

The 2025 Grammy Awards will be broadcast on CBS and Paramount+.

Who won at the 2024 Grammy Awards?

At the 2024 Grammys, Taylor Swift took home the Grammy for Album of the Year for “Midnights,” Miley Cyrus won Record of the Year for “Flowers,” Billie Eilish took home Song of the Year win for “What Was I Made For”, while Victoria Monet was named the Best New Artist. SZA and Coco Jones also scored big wins in the genre categories. Both Eilish and Swift are in contention to win at the 2025 Grammys with their latest albums.

How many times has Taylor Swift won Album of the Year?

Swift has won record-breaking four times thus far – for “Fearless”, “1989”, “Folklore” and “Midnights.”

Where can I bet on the Grammys?

Betting markets for the Grammy Awards are not currently available in the U.S. However there are active markets available at FanDuel Ontario in Canada and BetMGM in the UK.