The Dallas Mavericks look to take on the Kings in Sacramento tonight in a do-or-die play-in matchup where the loser is immediately eliminated from playoff contention. The winner will move on and must play again on Friday to secure one of the two remaining 2025 NBA playoff spots.
For the Mavericks and Kings, everything is on the line tonight.
The Sacramento Kings are a 4.5-point favorite, which doesn't bode well for the Mavericks. The Kings swept the Mavericks 3–0 during the 2025 regular season, including a 122–98 blowout win this past March.
Anthony "Made of Glass" Davis, is listed as probable with an adductor issue — how surprising....If Davis steps up tonight, perhaps, the star power forward/center can help bridge the gap? But, it's unlikely the Mavericks pull off a win.
The Mavs, without Luka Dončić (traded) and without Kyrie Irving, who's out for the rest of the season due to his torn ACL during the Kings' blowout win, don't have the firepower to keep this Mavs vs. Kings play-in game close.
Key Line | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings |
Point Spread | +4.5 | -4.5 |
Moneyline | +160 | -192 |
Over/Under | 213.5 (O/U) |
To watch the Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings NBA SoFi Play-In game, you'll need access to ESPN.
The Sacramento Kings appear to have a slight statistical edge in this SoFi 2025 Play-In Tournament matchup, leading in points per game (115.7 vs 114.2), rebounds (44.2 vs 43.0), and free throw percentage (80.6% vs 77.0%).
But the stat line omits the Mavericks roster chaos: Anthony Davis might play tonight if he doesn't injure himself walking up a flight of stairs, Luka got traded, and Kyrie is out due to his blown ACL.
What do the Mavericks have? Not much.
Key Stat | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings |
PPG | 114.2 | 115.7 |
REB | 43.0 | 44.2 |
FG % | 47.9% | 47.8% |
FT % | 77.0% | 80.6% |
3-Point % | 36.4% | 35.7% |
The Sacramento Kings are sending the Mavs back to Texas. The Kings are playing at home as a 4.5-point favorite, and the Mavericks' lineup looks like a ‘Guess Who?’ board — all the stars flipped down with the Mavs' best players traded, injured, or MIA.