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2025 Mountain West Tournament Predictions: Who Wins Every Game & the Championship?

Originally posted on College Football News
By Pete Fiutak | Last updated Mar 10, 2025 2:38 AM ET

A case could be made that among all of the top college basketball conference tournaments, the Mountain West's will be the most meaningful.

Oh sure, a few ACC teams could rise up and push their way in with a few wins, but the Mountain West is relatively cut-and-dry.

As long as they don't faceplant in a one-and-done run, New Mexico and Utah State are in, and San Diego State is really close.

Colorado State has to do something great, and Boise state has to beat SDSU in the first round, at least - the Aztecs will be in big trouble if they lose that.

We'll do the deeper dives on each game for this week, but for now, here's our first thought call on every Mountain West Conference Tournament game along with the prediction champion.

Predicting Every 2025 Mountain West Tournament Game

Mountain West Tournament First Round Predictions

Wednesday, March 12

(9) Wyoming vs (8) San Jose State
2:00 pm ET, Mountain West Network
First Thought Prediction: San Jose State

(10) Fresno State vs (7) Nevada
4:30 pm ET, Mountain West Network
First Thought Prediction: Nevada

(11) Air Force vs (6) UNLV
7:00 pm ET, Mountain West Network
First Thought Prediction: UNLV

Mountain West Tournament Quarterfinals Predictions

Thursday, March 13
Based on predictions from the first round - these aren’t the actual matchups yet

Wyoming or San Jose State vs (1) New Mexico
3:00 pm ET, CBS Sports Network
First Thought Prediction: New Mexico

(5) Boise State vs (4) San Diego State
5:30 pm ET, CBS Sports Network
First Thought Prediction: Boise State

Fresno State or Nevada vs (2) Colorado State
9:00 pm ET, CBS Sports Network
First Thought Prediction: Colorado State

Air Force or UNLV vs (3) Utah State
11:30 pm ET, CBS Sports Network
First Thought Prediction: UNLV

Mountain West Tournament Semifinals Predictions

Friday, March 14
Based on predictions from the first two rounds - these aren’t the actual matchups yet

(5) Boise State vs (1) New Mexico
9:30 pm ET, CBS Sports Network
First Thought Prediction: Boise State

(6) UNLV vs (2) Colorado State
12:00 am ET, CBS Sports Network
First Thought Prediction: Colorado State

Mountain West Tournament Championship Prediction

Saturday, March 15

(5) Boise State vs (2) Colorado State
6:00 pm, CBS
First Thought Prediction: Colorado State

Conference Tournament Predictions
ACC | Big East | Big Ten
Big 12 | Mountain West | SEC