Alabama State vs St. Francis Prediction, Preview & Odds: NCAA Tournament First Four

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Alabama State vs St. Francis How To Watch

Date: Tuesday, March 18
Venue: UD Arena, Dayton, OH
Time: 6:40 pm ET
TV: truTV
Teams: St. Francis (16-17), Alabama State (19-15)

Why St. Francis Will Win

All of a sudden, the Red Flash have figured out how to win.

They’re great defensively with a nastiness at holding up on threes, and then cleaning things up on the boards. Their games aren’t high-octane shootouts, so every point is precious. It’ll help that Alabama State is awful at shooting.

The Hornets aren’t great from three - although they’ll chuck them. That’s fine. As long as the trips are one-and-done, St. Francis will be doing things right.

Why Alabama State Will Win

The guards don’t give the ball away.

There are a whole lot of issues with the Hornets, but they don’t put themselves in too many bad positions by being careless. Fifth in the nation in turnovers, they won’t give St. Francis anything extra.

They’ll do a better job on the move, get that one pass right in transition, and …

Alabama State vs St. Francis: Who Will Win?

St. Francis doesn’t know how to get to the free throw line.

It’s a good shooting team from the outside, and it isn’t horrible on the free throw line, but Alabama State will get at least seven - more like 10 to 12 - free throw attempts.

The Red Flash have taken fewer than 15 free throw in six of their last nine games, went 4-of-6 in two games against Central Connecticut combined. It’ll be a low scoring fight with five extra made free throws being the difference.

Alabama State vs St. Francis Prediction, Betting Lines

Prediction: Alabama State 69, St. Francis 65
Alabama State vs St. Francis Betting Lines
BetMGM Line: Alabama State -4.5, o/u: 139.5
DraftKings Line: Alabama St -4.5, o/u: 139.5
FanDuel Line: Alabama State -4.5, o/u: 139.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

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