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Army vs East Carolina Prediction: Who Can Stay Alive in the American?
© Danny Wild-Imagn Images

It’s the American Conference opener for East Carolina, and it could be the closer if it doesn’t get a win.

It might seem insane - and, of course, the Pirates could run the table and be fine - but this is it. This early in the conference campaign, this is a must-win game in a conference with Memphis, Navy, Tulane, USF, and North Texas all rocking right out of the gate.

The Pirates go to Tulane next, and still have to deal with Memphis, so yeah, this is a big deal.

And Army? It dropped its American opener against North Texas in a thriller. It’s already in trouble, but it misses most of the big guys the rest of the conference way, except for a date at Tulane. 

Army Black Knights vs East Carolina Pirates Game Preview

Army vs East Carolina How To Watch

Thursday, September 25, 2025
Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
TV: ESPN
Location: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC
@PeteFiutak

Why Army Will Win

It's Army, so of course the ground game keeps on rolling.

It's throwing a little more than normal, but through a few tweaks and changes, the rushing attack is still averaging over 300 yards per game, the team doesn't have a problem with penalties, and few are better at controlling the clock.

But you knew that, because it's Army. That's what it does, and unless it forces a slew of takeaways - more on that in a moment - East Carolina will have a problem stopping what's coming.

The Pirates were great against the run over the first few games, but BYU was able to run without a problem, and everything should work on the outside with Hayden Reed powering away through the interior, and ...

Why East Carolina Will Win

The Knights can't stop screwing up - at least for them.

No, the penalties aren't an issue, but three turnovers against Tarleton State and three more against North Texas were a killer. 

The East Carolina defense was a brick wall over the first three games, allowing under two yards per carry by living in the backfield.

That all slowed against BYU, and Army's style overcomes good, aggressive defensive fronts, but the Pirates should win a few battles to keep the Knights from dominating the tempo. 

Kaitin Houser and the passing game have cranked up the yards, Army's defense is coming off a bad day against North Texas through the air, and ...

Can East Carolina Force Army Turnovers?

The attacking East Carolina defensive style forced five takeaways in the win over Coastal Carolina, and eight on the season, before BYU was ultra-careful last week. 

Army won't have a rash of turnovers, but it'll struggle a bit to impose its rushing will. It's 1-0 on the road - at Kansas State - and 0-2 in overtime thrillers at home, but the East Carolina defense will hold up with one big takeaway turning the tide late.

Army vs East Carolina Prediction, Betting Lines

East Carolina 28, Army 23
Line: East Carolina -4, o/u: 52.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
Must See Rating: 3

Consensus Line from BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, and FanDuel. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

- CFN Top 25 Rankings

This article first appeared on College Football News and was syndicated with permission.

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