When the season began, not many people would have guessed that Notre Dame and Clemson would be a combined 1-4 on September 13th. However, that is the reality of the situation as both teams try to dust themselves off in an attempt to save their seasons. But considering the high expectations both had, can either still make the playoffs? Here is a closer look at the both situations.
After losing to No. 10 Miami and No. 16 Texas A&M by a combined four points, the Irish are in a very difficult position. But since they are Notre Dame, more than a few people still believe that they can maneuver their way back into playoff contention. Is that realistic though?
The Irish only have one game remaining against a ranked team, and that is on October 18th against No. 25 USC (3-0). Notre Dame desperately needs the Trojans to be 6-0 when the two meet in South Bend. If this were to happen, that would mean that USC would have added wins against No. 9 Illinois (3-0) and No. 21 Michigan (2-1), which would likely catapult them into the Top 15. But the Irish need more than that considering the remainder of their schedule is weak. Wins against Boston College (2-1), Stanford (1-2), Purdue (2-1), Syracuse (2-1) and Pittsburgh (2-1) won’t move the needle.
On the bright side, North Carolina State and Navy have legitimate chances of being undefeated when they play Notre Dame. The Wolfpack should be 6-0 on October 11th and the Midshipmen should be 8-0 on November 8th, however, neither is likely to be ranked considering their weak schedules. The remaining wildcard is Arkansas, which almost did the Irish a big favor by beating Ole Miss on the road on Saturday. The Razorbacks showed potential but need to do more than that for it to help the Irish. After the two play on September 27th, the Razorbacks still have games remaining against No. 15 Tennessee (2-1), No. 10 Texas A&M (3-0), No. 22 Auburn (3-0), No. 3 LSU (3-0), No. 8 Texas (3-0) and No. 23 Missouri (3-0). While it is unlikely that Arkansas can navigate this gauntlet successfully, that’s what Notre Dame needs to happen if they want to classify a victory over the Razorbacks as impressive. The remaining weak schedule will likely make the current hole too big to dig out of.
Chances to make playoff: 15%
The loss to No. 9 LSU in the opener was somewhat understandable, even though it was extremely disappointing for the Tigers since it was their opportunity to make a statement nationally. But the next two games were arguably more concerning. First was a lethargic 27-16 home victory against Troy, which is now 1-2 after losing to Memphis 28-7 over the weekend. And then was the 24-21 loss at Georgia Tech (3-0). The Yellow Jackets are a legitimately good team this season, but it was a game Clemson needed to win if they wanted to save their season. Especially a season that began with National Championship aspirations.
However, those dreams have seemingly gone up in smoke in only two weeks. The ACC currently has three teams that are ranked: No. 4 Miami (3-0), No. 7 Florida State (2-0) and No. 18 Georgia Tech. On top of that, Louisville (2-0) is just outside the Top 25, Cal (3-0) and NC State (3-0) are undefeated and six other ACC teams are 2-1. This means that there are currently 12 ACC teams with a better record than Clemson. Also, their in-state rival, No. 11 South Carolina, didn’t do them any favors by losing to Vanderbilt on Saturday. The Tigers needed the Gamecocks, who they play in the regular season finale, to be highly ranked and instead they slipped out of the Top 25.
Clemson needs too many things to happen to make a playoff run. And most importantly, they need to play much better to even justify the conversation.
Chances to make playoff: 5%
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