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Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman during the Notre Dame Blue-Gold spring football game at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, April 12, 2025, in South Bend. MICHAEL CLUBB/SOUTH BEND TRIBUNE / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

ESPN Computer Predicts Every Notre Dame Game in 2025 Season

Originally posted on Notre Dame Fighting Irish on SI
By Nick Shepkowski | Last updated Aug 21, 2025 1:52 PM ET

College football season is upon us Kansas State and Iowa State kick things off this Saturday in Dublin, Ireland. Notre Dame fans have to wait a week and a day to see the Irish take on Miami in South Florida on the Sunday night of Labor Day weekend, but excitement ahead of a Notre Dame season hasn't been this high in quite some time.

Fan excitement is one thing, but how does a less-biased outlet see Notre Dame's upcoming season going? ESPN's Matchup Predictor has been updated for the 2025 season, and sees big things for Notre Dame on a game-by-game basis.

Here is what it says for Notre Dame's chances in all 12 regular season contests as of August 21, 2025.

August 31: Notre Dame at Miami

Jasen Vinlove-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 54.9%, Miami 45.1%

September 13: Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M

Maria Lysaker-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 69.2%, Texas A&M 30.8%

September 20: Notre Dame vs. Purdue

Alex Martin/Journal and Courier / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 96.6%, Purdue 3.4%

September 27: Notre Dame at Arkansas

Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 69.0%, Arkansas 31%

October 4: Notre Dame vs. Boise State

Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 85.8%, Boise State 14.2%

October 11: Notre Dame vs. NC State

Rob Kinnan-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 91.0%, North Carolina State 9.0%

October 18: Notre Dame vs. USC

Matt Cashore-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 72.5%, USC 27.5%

November 1: Notre Dame at Boston College

Matt Cashore-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 85.0%, Boston College 15.0%

November 8: Notre Dame vs. Navy

Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 94.5, Navy 5.5%

November 15: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh

Matt Cashore-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 83.2%, Pittsburgh 16.8%

November 22: Notre Dame vs. Syracuse

Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 91.1%, Syracuse 8.9%

November 29: Notre Dame at Stanford

MICHAEL CLUBB/SOUTH BEND TRIBUNE / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

ESPN Matchup Predictor Chances of Victory:

Notre Dame 85.4%, Stanford 14.6%

ESPN FPI's Notre Dame Season Odds:

ESPN has its Football Power Index out as well, and gives Notre Dame the following chances in the 2025 season:

Projected record: 9.8-2.2

Finish 12-0: 7.0%

6 or more wins: 99.9%

Make College Football Playoff: 55.8%

Make National Championship Game: 11.4%

Win National Championship: 5.4%

Nick Shepkowski's Lasting Thoughts:

Predicting what and how 18- to 22-year-old males will perform is a dangerous task, but it provides a great baseline for where Notre Dame enters the 2025 season. Although I'm not convinced the FPI doesn't lean slightly in the SEC's favor, it hardly applies here, as Notre Dame will play just two SEC foes this fall.

What the ESPN Matchup Predictor and FPI both do is say the part a lot of Notre Dame fans want to keep silent: Notre Dame is better than each team it plays and should go undefeated in the 2025 regular season.

This article first appeared on Notre Dame Fighting Irish on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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