After Friday night's run-rule win over Kansas, TCU's RPI jumped up two spots to No. 17. RPI, or Ratings Percentage Index, is a formula used to rank teams based on their strength of schedule. The tournament committee uses RPI to determine seeding.
Though the RPI improved, it's still not enough to have the Horned Frogs host a Regional next weekend, per Saturday's projections by D1 Baseball. Instead, TCU (39-17, 19-11) is now projected to travel to Oxford, Mississippi, for a Regional hosted by projected No. 14 national seed Ole Miss.
It looks most likely that the only way TCU may get to host a Regional is by soundly beating Arizona in Saturday night's Phillips 66 Big 12 Baseball Championship.
Saturday's projections have eight teams from the Big 12 making the tournament, but none of them hosting a Regional. The eight teams are: Arizona, Arizona State, Cincinnati, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, TCU, and West Virginia. By comparison, the SEC has 13 teams projected in the field of 64, with eight of those hosting a Regional.
Newest D1 Basebalo field of 64 (05/24)#TCU is the 2-seed in the Ole Miss regional now.
— J.D. Andress (@Jdandress11) May 24, 2025
The Big 12 have no hosts, SEC has 8, ACC has 4
If this is how it plays out, I really like this regional and potentially super regional for the
Let me hear your thoughts ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/jIXmSzY40N
D1Baseball.com, one of the leading sources of college baseball information, scores, and more, has been updating its projections for the postseason tournament weekly. Now that conference tournaments are underway, it has moved to daily updates on the projected field of 64.
Five other teams TCU has played in nonconference play are also projected to make the field: Arkansas, DBU, Fresno State, Southern Miss, and UTSA. Michigan, San Diego, and UTRGV, all nonconference opponents of TCU, are no longer projected to make the Field of 64.
Assuming every host team wins their Regional (they won’t). The bottom eight regional hosts all go on the road to play the Super Regional at the top eight teams, and assuming the top eight national seeds all win the Supers (they won’t), here’s how the brackets would be in Omaha:
Bracket One
• (1) Texas
• (4) North Carolina
• (5) LSU
• (8) Oregon
Bracket Two
• (2) Vanderbilt
• (3) Arkansas
• (6) Georgia
• (7) Auburn
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Selection Monday is on May 26. Regional rounds begin Friday, June 30. Super Regionals begin June 6. The College World Series begins on Friday, June 13. The three game Finals Series begins Saturday, June 21.
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