I believe in a theory I call the Week One Variance.
That describes some of the mishaps that often occur in an initial game while teams are still learning who they are, what they are, and who's who in their own program that won't occur as the season moves along.
Some of these mistakes are relatively harmless, such as per se a couple of early game motion penalties due to a timing, cadence issue. But sometimes these mistakes, especially against talented opponents, can cost teams valuable early-season games. These are the mistakes that must be avoided.
Some of these backbreakers include miscommunication mistakes that result in free open touchdowns or a massive loss of yardage due to a snap occurring while the quarterback isn't looking for the ball, and it sails behind him 30 yards.
Or perhaps a young QB panicking and throwing balls right to the defense rather than up into the stands.
So much of Week One's success has to do with simply being sound. No huge bonehead mistakes combined with crisp, clean play. This is a recipe for victory.
Highest college football season win totals at @BetMGM:
— Ben Fawkes (@BFawkes22) July 21, 2025
Notre Dame 10.5
Ohio State 10.5
Oregon 10.5
Penn State 10.5
Alabama 9.5
Boise State 9.5
Clemson 9.5
Georgia 9.5
Liberty 9.5
Miami (FL) 9.5
Texas 9.5
A Week One game on the road in Miami is about as intense as it gets. It'll be hot, it'll be important, and. it'll have the national spotlight on.
Notre Dame's margin for error will be slim. Aside from the typical week one variance concerns previously mentioned, the Irish are breaking in so many key new pieces all at once, there's a reason for some added concern.
The Irish will have a new young starting QB, a new DC, and a new offensive line lineup yet to be named going up against the Hurricanes.
Preparation will be the key to success under these circumstances. What staff understands where his team is and gameplans using that information best? From there, what group of players best executes the plan?
The nation will find out in just a few short weeks.
For more Irish news & notes, follow John on Twitter @alwaysirishINC, Always Irish on Youtube and on your preferred audio podcast provider.
More must-reads:
Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!