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Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Cal
Louisville huddled during their game against Pitt at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. on Mar. 1, 2025. Sam Upshaw Jr./Courier Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Louisville (23-6, 16-2 ACC) is set to face Cal (13-16, 6-12 ACC) on Saturday, Mar. 5 at 9:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Golden Bears:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

Team Leaders

Scoring

Rebounding

Defense

Ball Handling

Predictions

ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 90.4 percent chance to win against Cal. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 13.9 (30th overall), whereas the Golden Bears have a BPI rating of 3.7 (108th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 93 percent chance to take down the Golden Bears, with a projected final score of 84-68 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +22.54 (24th overall), whereas Cal has an adjusted efficiency margin of +4.09 (118th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have an 94 percent chance to take down the Golden Bears, with a projected final score of 85-66 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9247 (18th overall), whereas Cal has a "Barthag" of .5899 (123rd overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 88, Cal 70.

You can follow Louisville Cardinals On SI for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter/X and Instagram:

Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
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You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X and @mattmcgavic.bsky.social on Bluesky


This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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