Mar 15, 2025; Charlotte, NC, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard Terrence Edwards Jr. (5) drives against Duke Blue Devils guard Tyrese Proctor (5) in the second half of the 2025 ACC Conference Championship game at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

Tale of the Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Creighton

Originally posted on Louisville Cardinals on SI
By Matthew McGavic | Last updated Mar 18, 2025 9:00 AM ET

Louisville (27-7, 18-2 ACC) is set to face Creighton (24-10, 15-5 Big East) on Thursday, Mar. 120 at 12:15 p.m. EST at Rupp Arena in Lexington, Ky. in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Bluejays:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

Team Leaders

Scoring

Rebounding

Defense

Ball Handling

Predictions

- ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 47.5 percent chance to win against Creighton. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 14.0 (28th overall), whereas the Bluejays have a BPI rating of 14.6 (26th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 60 percent chance to take down the Bluejays, with a projected final score of 75-72 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +22.64 (23rd overall), whereas Creighton has an adjusted efficiency margin of +18.70 (37th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 63 percent chance to take down the Jays, with a projected final score of 75-72 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .9288 (19th overall), whereas Creighton has a "Barthag" of .8852 (33rd overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Louisville 77, Creighton 71.

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