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Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. SMU
Jan 18, 2025; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard Chucky Hepburn (24) shoots against Virginia Cavaliers guard Dai Dai Ames (7) during the second half at KFC Yum! Center. Louisville defeated Virginia 81-67. Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

Louisville (14-5, 7-1 ACC) is set to face SMU (14-4, 5-2 ACC) on Tuesday, Jan. 21 at 9:00 p.m. EST at the Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Mustangs:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

Team Leaders

Scoring

Rebounding

Defense

Ball Handling

Predictions

ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 38.1 percent chance to win against SMU. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 12.2 (41st overall), whereas the Mustangs have a BPI rating of 11.9 (43rd overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 43 percent chance to take down the Mustangs, with a projected final score of 79-77 in favor of SMU. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +19.41 (29th overall), whereas SMU has an adjusted efficiency margin of +17.04 (40th overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 45 percent chance to take down the Mustangs, with a projected final score of 80-78 in favor of SMU. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .8967 (30th overall), whereas SMU has a "Barthag" of .8558 (41st overall).

- Personal Prediction: SMU 85, Louisville 84.

You can follow Louisville Cardinals On SI for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter/X and Instagram:

Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
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You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X and @mattmcgavic.bsky.social on Bluesky


This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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