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Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. Virginia
Jan 1, 2025; Louisville, Kentucky, USA; Louisville Cardinals guard Chucky Hepburn (24) reacts during the second half against the North Carolina Tar Heels at KFC Yum! Center. Jamie Rhodes-Imagn Images

Louisville (9-5, 2-1 ACC) is set to face Virginia (8-5, 1-1 ACC) on Saturday, Jan. 4 at 4:00 p.m. EST at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Va. Here's how the Cardinals stack up against the Cavaliers:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

Team Leaders

Scoring

Rebounding

Defense

Ball Handling

Predictions

ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Louisville has a 52.6 percent chance to win against Virginia. The Cardinals have a BPI rating of 9.6 (59th overall), whereas the Cavaliers have a BPI rating of 5.6 (95th overall).

- KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 56 percent chance to take down the Cavaliers, with a projected final score of 66-64 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +14.84 (54th overall), whereas Virginia has an adjusted efficiency margin of +6.89 (102nd overall).

- Torvik Prediction: Per BartTorvik.com, the Cards have a 58 percent chance to take down the Cavs, with a projected final score of 63-62 in favor of UofL. Louisville has a "Barthag" of .8495 (45th overall), whereas Virginia has a "Barthag" of .6953 (97th overall).

- Personal Prediction: Louisville 68, Virginia 61.

You can follow Louisville Cardinals On SI for future coverage by liking us on Facebook, Twitter/X and Instagram:

Facebook - @LouisvilleOnSI
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You can also follow Deputy Editor Matthew McGavic at @Matt_McGavic on Twitter/X and @mattmcgavic.bsky.social on Bluesky


This article first appeared on Louisville Cardinals on SI and was syndicated with permission.

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