Yardbarker
x
An Honest Assessment of Diamondbacks 2025 Bullpen Construction
Mike Hazen, General manager of the Diamondbacks, speaks to Jack Sommers during Cactus League media day at the Arizona Biltmore on Feb. 18, 2025, in Phoenix. Patrick Breen/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

An all too familiar scene took place at Chase Field last night. The Arizona Diamondbacks had battled to take a lead in a hard fought ballgame against the Los Angeles. But once again their hopes of victory evaporated into thin air after yet another bullpen meltdown.

This time they had come back from an 8-3 deficit to take an 11-8 lead into the top of the ninth, but Kevin Ginkel and Ryan Thompson combined to give up six runs in a 14-11 loss.

This was somewhat of a repeat of what took place April 18 in Chicago. The Diamondbacks stormed back from a 7-1 deficit against the Cubs to score 10 runs in the eighth inning. Then their bullpen, working without either A.J. Puk or Justin Martinez, imploded to allow six runs in the bottom of the inning, ultimately losing 13-11. Struggling Joe Mantiply and Bryce Jarvis were optioned to Reno the next day.

It's not like the bullpen had been doing well in between those two disasters. From April 19-May 8 the relief core had pitched to a 4.69 ERA and an even worse 5.32 FIP. So they can't blame bad luck.

During the offseason General Manager Mike Hazen repeatedly stated he wanted to add to the bullpen, preferably a back-end, high-leverage reliever. But various attempts to sign or trade for one fell through, and the team's allocation of resources ultimately went into signing starter Corbin Burnes to a six-year, $210 million dollar contract.

That's not to say they didn't add. Hazen signed Kendall Graveman, who between 2021-2023 posted a 2.74 ERA for the Mariners, White Sox, and Astros over 187 innings pitched. He also recorded 24 saves. Graveman also came with an injury history, and had missed all of 2024 due to shoulder surgery. Hence his availability on a one-year, $5 million dollar deal with an option.

Unfortunately Graveman came down with an injury early in camp, a lower back strain, that set him back until now. He just completed two rehab assignment games with the Reno Aces and is projected to join the club either Sunday or Monday.

Another addition was Shelby Miller, who was signed to a minor league contract. Miller impressed in spring, and made the Opening Day roster, and has been one of the best pitchers on the team so far this year. He's pitched in 16 games, thrown 16.2 innings and posted a minuscule 1.08 ERA (3 runs allowed, two earned). The intention was never for Miller to be the closer however.

Another addition came at the very end of Spring Training. Left-hander Jalen Beeks was released by the Pirates. The D-backs swooped in on March 26, one day before Opening Day, signing him to a one-year deal worth $1.25 million dollars. He's been the workhorse of the pen, throwing 21.2 innings while posting a 2.08 ERA.

Thus the Diamondbacks entered the 2025 season with A.J. Puk and Justin Martinez as their co-closers, and it seemed to be working the first three weeks of the season. Through April 17 they had combined for six saves and five holds. Neither had blown a lead.

Unfortunately Puk got hurt, and is on the IL with a flexor tendon strain. Now on the 60-day IL, he's just began a throwing program and is not eligible to return before June 18. Martinez went through a dead arm phase, pitched ineffectively with a severe velocity loss, and ended up on the 15-day IL himself.

While all this was going on, Kevin Ginkel was injured in Spring Training too. He returned from a sore shoulder on April 30. He'd already been somewhat shaky, allowing runs in three of his first five outings on five hits, three walks, and two homers.

Then Friday night's meltdown happened. Working for the third time in four days his velocity was down and there was no sharpness to his breaking pitches. Four batters in he had surrendered four straight hits and three runs.

Ryan Thompson meanwhile has been a shadow of the pitcher he was for his first season and a half with Arizona. The formerly reliable sidewinder had only allowed three homers in 91 innings pitched dating back to August 27, 2023 (including Postseason). This year he has allowed three homers in 15.2 innings, including Ohtani's game winning three-run blast on Friday. Thompson has a 5.74 ERA and 5.02 FIP.

One shutters to think how bad things would be had the Diamondbacks not picked up Miller and Beeks. Even with those strong additions, the depth is simply not there to withstand the injuries to Puk, Martinez, Ginkel, and Graveman.

One area to look at is the reluctance to spend money on the back-end of the bullpen. There were a number of high-leverage relievers available on the free agent market, but it became apparent the D-backs were not able to compete for any of these pitchers. Below is a chart showing the potential high-leverage reliever targets, their age and what they signed for, and their performance to date.

Jack Sommers

Table note: True Save Percentage takes both saves and holds and divides that number by total save situation. BS in the table = blown saves. A hold is like a save, in that the reliever protected a lead in what was technically a save situation, but occurred before the ninth inning, thus he handed that lead off to another pitcher. Relievers do not control when the late-inning leads are handed to them.

Three of the five relievers in this table were signed by the Dodgers. Blake Treinen ended up on the 60- day IL after just eight appearances. Due to having Tanner Scott, the Dodgers have had the luxury to use Kirby Yates in a setup role.

The Red Sox used their resources to sign not one, but two veteran closers in Aroldis Chapman and Kenley Jansen. While Jansens' ERA is well above five, he has yet to blow a save, nor has Chapman, as they've combined to go 13-for-13 when handed a lead.

Carlos Estevez and Jeff Hoffman have been relative bargains to this point in the season for their respective teams. Here at Arizona Diamondbacks On SI we took close looks at all these pitchers, weighing the pros and cons. Here are the links for the related Estevez and Hoffman articles

Potential D-backs Free Agency Target: Carlos Estevez

Potential D-backs Free Agency Target: Jeff Hoffman

Analysis

It's understandable that a mid-market team like the Diamondbacks has been hesitant to invest big dollars into the bullpen over the years. But citing financial limitation is no excuse for the fact that since 2017 in the Mike Hazen era, the Diamondbacks have had arguably the worst bullpen result of any team in major league baseball.

Simply put, they have failed to develop enough pitching internally to construct a reliable bullpen. In fact, they have not developed many starting pitchers either. Their best results have been Brandon Pfaadt and Ryne Nelson, who have improved and show promise, but sport career ERAs of 4.80 and 4.63 respectively. The D-backs have been willing to spend in the area of starting pitching, but to disastrous results there.

From 2017 through 2025 year to date the Diamondbacks 7.7 reliever WAR ranks dead last, 30th in MLB. There are plenty of teams with lower payrolls that have been better, in fact all of them. The Miami Marlins are 28th with 15.7 WAR, more than twice as much as the Diamondbacks. Several low payroll teams, such as the Tampa Bay Rays, Cleveland Guardians, and Milwaukee Brewers rank in the top ten.

The Diamondbacks do somewhat better in the rankings of a more traditional metric, like ERA where they rank 18th at 4.33, along with a 4.35 FIP, which ranks 25th. But when looking at how they do when it matters most, in high leverage key situations, their ranking sinks again to 27th, according to WPA, or Win Percentage added.

These are player development issues. If the team is unwilling or unable to take the considerable risks that investing money in relievers entails, then they must find ways to develop that pitching internally. Whether it be starting or bullpen pitchers, the Diamondbacks' acquisition and pitching development system has just not produced the necessary talent to compete in this area. It requires an overhaul and complete rethink going forward.


This article first appeared on Arizona Diamondbacks on SI and was syndicated with permission.

More must-reads:

Customize Your Newsletter

Yardbarker +

Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!