The stolen base is set to make a big comeback in baseball this year because of the new rules that limit pickoff attempts, as well as the larger bases that should increase success rates.
Based on what we saw on Opening Day, it could be a huge year for any player with speed on the base paths.
Across the league on Thursday there were 21 stolen bases, with only two players actually caught stealing.
That is a 91 percent success rate for base stealers. The league average a year ago was around 75 percent.
It is important to note this is just a one-day sampling and it is an extremely long season. That success rate will almost certainly come down at some point. But keep in mind that on Opening Day a year ago there were only five successful stolen bases across the entire league.
It was also obvious on Thursday that players were using the new rules to their advantage.
Take, for example, Braves star Ronald Acuna Jr. who seemed downright giddy when the Washington Nationals attempted a second pickoff attempt of him at first base, reaching their "disengagement" limit for that at-bat. He signals the number "two" to the dugout, then points to second base.
He then easily stole second base on the next pitch.
Watch @ronaldacunajr24 take advantage of the new "two disengagements" rule for his first stolen base of the season pic.twitter.com/akqKa0RuuN
— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) March 30, 2023
Acuna is already an outstanding base stealer, having led the league with 37 back in 2019 and stealing 46 in only 201 games over the past two seasons. With these new rules he might have a real shot at 50 steals this year. Combined with his power he could be in line for one of baseball's all-time great offensive seasons.
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