Can the Rockies arms handle the Brewers bats?

However, Wilson will likely receive ample run support, as Milwaukee’s potent offense ranks in the league’s top half in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS, and stolen bases.

This offensive success is expected to continue against left-hander Austin Gomber, who will be starting for the Colorado Rockies.

Colorado Rockies

The Brewers’ lineup has a .354 xBA, .541 xSLG, and .421 xwOBA through 18 combined career plate appearances against Gomber. The southpaw has faced his own struggles this season.

Through 15 starts, Gomber is 1-5 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. His struggles are evident, as he sports a 4.87 xERA and ranks in the 24th percentile or lower in xBA, average exit velocity, and barrel rate.

This regression has already begun to manifest, with Gomber surrendering four or more runs in each of his past four starts. Over that stretch, he is 0-2 with a 9.45 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.

Following Gomber is one of the worst relief staff in baseball. Colorado’s bullpen ranks last in ERA, 29th in FIP, and last in xFIP.

Brewers-Rockies Best Bet

The Brewers are in a strong position to extend their division lead in this series. Gomber’s recent performance suggests he is struggling, and it’s unlikely to improve, given the quality of his pitches.

Wilson may not be as strong as his ERA indicates, but the Brewers still seem justified in being bigger favorites than -150 in this matchup.

Additionally, the Brewers have a significant advantage in the bullpen, which could stand out in a game featuring two vulnerable starting pitchers at Coors Field.

I’d take the Brewers on the moneyline and over the total of 11.5 runs in this one. It should be a high-scoring game.