Cardinals vs. Yankees prediction, pick, odds for Sat. 8/31

Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds

Saturday, Aug 31

1:05 p.m. ET

MLB Network

Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

Cardinals vs. Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers

Tony Sartori's Cardinals vs. Yankees Preview

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview: Trends Don't Favor Gibson

Gibson has struggled in his 12th season. Through 25 starts, the right-hander possesses a 4.54 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.

His underlying metrics are even worse. Gibson sports a 5.04 xERA and ranks in the 39th percentile or lower in xBA, strikeout rate, walk rate, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.

These woes are likely to continue against New York, a team he is 2-7 against through 12 career meetings with a fade-worthy 5.94 ERA. The good news for Gibson is that he is likely to receive some support from the bats.

Entering this matchup, St. Louis ranks in the top half of the league in hits per game, BA and OBP.

New York Yankees Betting Preview: Run Support Makes Up for Poor Pitching

The Cardinals' success at the dish is likely to continue against Warren, who has had a terrible start to his career thus far. Through the first four outings of his debut campaign, the right-hander is 0-2 with a troubling 9.68 ERA and 1.81 WHIP.

Following Warren is a bullpen that is unlikely to bail him out. This season, the Yankees' relief staff ranks in the bottom half of the league in both FIP and xFIP.

With that said, run support is unlikely to be an issue for this pitching staff. New York ranks in the top 10 in runs scored per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS and home runs.

Through 90 combined career plate appearances against Gibson, this current Yankees lineup boasts a .241 xBA, .428 xSLG and .322 xwOBA.

Cardinals vs. Yankees Prediction, Betting Analysis

There are multiple reasons to be optimistic on the over in this contest. Both starting pitchers rank in the bottom half of the league in xERA, xBA, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.

Meanwhile, both lineups contribute in different ways. The Cardinals are a contact-heavy team, ranking in the top half of the league in hits per game, BA and OBP.

On the other hand, the Yankees thrive on their power and rank in the top two in runs scored per game, SLG, OPS and home runs.

Pick: Over 9 (-122 / Play to -130)

Moneyline

I'm going to pass on the moneyline. I have no interest in laying -166 on New York, and I have no interest in backing St. Louis.

Run Line (Spread)

I'm also going to pass on the run line. I like the Yankees at -1.5, but I would like to see a larger payout than the current +114 tag.

Over/Under

I'm betting Over 9 in this game.

Cardinals vs. Yankees Betting Trends

• 92% of the bets and 96% of the money are on the Yankees on the moneyline.
• 66% of the bets and 67% of the money are on the over.
• 80% of the bets and 97% of the money are on the Yankees to cover the run line.

Cardinals Betting Trends

• Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
• Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
• Cardinals are 28-38 in their road games against the spread
• The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cardinals' last 5 games
• The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cardinals' 68 last games at home

Yankees Betting Trends

• Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
• Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
• Yankees are 37-32 in their road games against the spread
• The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees' last 5 games
• The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Yankees' 65 last games at home

Cardinals-Yankees Weather Forecast

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