Sep 19, 2025; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds shortstop Elly De La Cruz (44) high fives designated hitter Miguel Andujar (38) after the victory over the Chicago Cubs at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-Imagn Images Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

Cincinnati Reds Still Alive in Wild Card Race, But Odds Are Low

Originally posted on Cincinnati Reds on SI
By Greg Kuffner | Last updated Sep 20, 2025 9:26 AM ET

The Cincinnati Reds have won three straight games and are just two games back of the New York Mets for the third and final National League Wild Card spot, but their playoff odds are at just 8.5%, according to FanGraphs.

The Mets beat the Nationals on Friday night to stay two games ahead. However, the Diamondbacks and Giants both lost, which was good news for Cincinnati.

The Reds just need to continue winning and hope the Mets drop a couple of games down the stretch.

Cincinnati will play the Chicago Cubs in game three of the series on Saturday at 6:40 ET at Great American Ball Park.

You can see the odds of each team in the hunt making the playoffs below:

The updated odds for final NL Wild Card berth after tonight's games, per FanGraphs:
New York Mets: 90.1%
Cincinnati Reds: 8.5%
Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.3%
San Francisco Giants: 0.2%
St. Louis Cardinals: 0.1%.
— Bob Nightengale (@BNightengale) September 20, 2025