Contact! Friday's Base Hit Builder

More fun with numbers as I take you through today's best bets for a base knock. We'll isolate today's MLB slate's pitch-to-contact SPs — and which hitters they'll face who've frequently put quality balls in play over the last two weeks (min 30 PAs).

Yesterday's base hit parlay, Matt Olson plus Alec Bohm gets to the window! (Edgar Quero DNP Game 1)

Today's SP Contact Targets (+90% Zone-Contact & +44% Hard Hit Rates)

• SEA George Kirby — 25.2 IP; 92.1% Zone-Contact, 46.5% Hard Hit vs. CHC
• CHW Davis Martin — 74.2 IP; 91.0% Zone-Contact, 46.1% Hard Hit vs. TOR
• BOS Hunter Dobbins — 47.1 IP; 90.5% Zone-Contact, 43.9% Hard Hit vs. SF
• ARI Zac Gallen — 86.2 IP; 90.4% Zone-Contact, 46.0% Hard Hit vs. COL
• STL Andre Pallante — 76.1 IP; 89.2% Zone-Contact, 44.0% Hard Hit vs. CIN

All Opposing Hitters w/+80% Contact, +40% Hard Hit, & +.270 Expected Batting Average, Last Two Weeks

• TOR Bo Bichette — 58 PA; +80% Contact, +42% Hard Hit & +.288 Expected Batting Average
• TOR Vlad Guerrero — 52 PA; +80% Contact, +58% Hard Hit & +.321 Expected Batting Average
• TOR Alejandro Kirk — 52 PA; +82% Contact, +59% Hard Hit & +.270 Expected Batting Average
• SF Jung Hoo Lee — 52 PA; +91% Contact, +46% Hard Hit & +.238 Expected Batting Average
• CIN Christian Encarnacion-Strand — 40 PA; +82% Contact, +54% Hard Hit & +.235 Expected Batting Average

LAGHEZZAS LEANS:

Intentionally setting all the parameters really high on both sides of our base hit matrix leaves us with just a handful of results per slate — but I gotta say I love every one of these guys for a hit today.

Our keep it simple methodology sets a nice low bar to clear in a really difficult hitter market. Players only get a small handful of at-bats every game, where a couple of walks and a HBP could otherwise ruin your day.

TODAY'S ACTION: 

FIVE-LEG BASE HIT PARLAY (+351) on Fanduel

• Bo Bichette TOR, Vlad Guerrero TOR, Alejandro Kirk TOR, Jung Hoo Lee SF, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand CIN