Contact! Friday's Base Hit Builder

More fun with numbers as I take you through today's best bets for a base knock. We'll isolate today's MLB slate's pitch-to-contact SPs — and which hitters they'll face who've frequently put quality balls in play over the last two weeks (min 25 PAs).

Today's Contact SP Targets: (+90% Zone-Contact & +42% Hard Hit Rates)

• ATL Bryce Elder — 66.0 IP; 93.5% Zone-Contact, 46.3% Hard Hit vs. PHI
• CHC Cade Horton — 37.0 IP; 92.3% Zone-Contact, 42.5% Hard Hit vs. HOU
• COL Kyle Freeland — 73.2 IP; 92.1% Zone-Contact, 42.9% Hard Hit vs. MIL
• HOU Brandon Walter — 23.2 IP; 91.1% Zone-Contact, 44.3% Hard Hit vs. CHC
• WSH Jake Irvin — 94.2 IP; 90.0% Zone-Contact, 46.2% Hard Hit vs. LAA

All Opposing Hitters w/+80% Contact, +42% Hard Hit, & +.260 Expected Batting Average, Last ~Two Weeks vs. LHP/RHP

• PHI Alec Bohm vs. RHP — 46 PA; +83% Contact, +42% Hard Hit & +.283 Expected Batting Average
• HOU Cam Smith vs RHP — 40 PA; +83% Contact, +49% Hard Hit & +.277 Expected Batting Average
• MIL Caleb Durbin vs LHP — 27 PA; +91% Contact, +46% Hard Hit & +.260 Expected Batting Average
• MIL Jackson Chourio vs LHP — 28 PA; +80% Contact, +55% Hard Hit & +.353 Expected Batting Average
• CHC Seiya Suzuki vs LHP — 26 PA; +80% Contact, +53% Hard Hit & +.324 Expected Batting Average

(For transparency's sake, I tweak hitter's handedness splits to adjust for plate appearance sample size)