Contact! Thursday's Base Hit Builder

More fun with numbers as I take you through today's best bets for a base knock. We'll isolate today's MLB slate's pitch-to-contact SPs — and which hitters they'll face who've frequently put quality balls in play over the last two weeks (min 25 PAs).

YESTERDAY'S THREE-LEG BASE HIT PARLAY (+208) CASHES FOR THE THIRD DAY IN A ROW!  WE'RE OFFICIALLY ON FIRE 

If it ain't broke... don't fix it.

Today's Contact SP Targets: (+88% Zone-Contact & +43% Hard Hit Rates)

• STL Andre Pallante — 89.3% Zone-Contact, 44.0% Hard Hit vs. CHC
• SF Hayden Birdsong — 88.2% Zone-Contact, 45.5% Hard Hit vs. MIA
• LAD Clayton Kershaw — 88.0% Zone-Contact, 51.0% Hard Hit vs. COL
• MIN Simeon Woods Richardson — 88.0% Zone-Contact, 42.7% Hard Hit vs. SEA
• NYM Griffin Canning — 87.9% Zone-Contact, 45.6% Hard Hit vs. ATL

All Opposing Hitters w/+80% Contact, +42% Hard Hit, & +.260 Expected Batting Average, Last ~Two Weeks vs. LHP/RHP

• CHC Kyle Tucker vs. RHP — 28 PA; +80% Contact, +63% Hard Hit & +.390 Expected Batting Average
• MIA Xavier Edwards vs RHP — 28 PA; +93% Contact, +48% Hard Hit & +.260 Expected Batting Average
• COL Jordan Beck vs LHP — 25 PA; +89% Contact, +60% Hard Hit & +.373 Expected Batting Average
• SEA Dominic Canzone vs RHP — 40 PA; +85% Contact, +42% Hard Hit & +.275 Expected Batting Average
• ATL Matt Olson vs RHP — 31 PA; +80% Contact, +56% Hard Hit & +.290 Expected Batting Average

(For transparency's sake, I tweak hitter's handedness splits to adjust for plate appearance sample size)