Contact! Tuesday's Base Hit Builder

More fun with numbers as I take you through today's best bets for a base knock. We'll isolate today's MLB slate's pitch-to-contact SPs — and which hitters they'll face who've frequently put quality balls in play over the last two weeks (min 25 PAs).

YESTERDAY'S THREE-LEG BASE HIT PARLAY (+161) GETS HOME ! 

Today's SP Contact Targets (+89% Zone-Contact & +42% Hard Hit Rates)

• COL German Marquez — 73.2 IP; 92.9% Zone-Contact, 46.6% Hard Hit vs. LAD
• ATH Luis Severino — 95.2 IP; 90.3% Zone-Contact, 42.2% Hard Hit vs. DET
• MIA Cal Quantrill — 63.1 IP; 89.3% Zone-Contact, 44.6% Hard Hit vs. SF

All Opposing Hitters w/+80% Contact, +40% Hard Hit, & +.265 Expected Batting Average, Last ~Two Weeks

• DET Gleyber Torres — 30 PA; +89% Contact, +40% Hard Hit & +.350 Expected Batting Average
• LAD Max Muncy — 34 PA; +82% Contact, +40% Hard Hit & +.267 Expected Batting Average
• SF Jung Hoo Lee — 26 PA; +97% Contact, +44% Hard Hit & +.247 Expected Batting Average (making an exception on the xBA for the insane contact metrics)

LAGHEZZAS LEANS:

Intentionally setting all the parameters really high on both sides of our base hit matrix leaves us with just a handful of results per slate — but I gotta say I love every one of these guys for a hit today.

Our keep it simple methodology sets a nice low bar to clear in a really difficult hitter market. Players only get a small handful of at-bats every game, where a couple of walks and a HBP could otherwise ruin your day.

Love these full nighttime slates, which almost always get us exposed to several very good hitters in high-probability spots for a knock.