New York Mets vs. New York Yankees prediction and odds Mon., 8/22: Dramas unfolding

Yardbarker Quick Pick

The Mets are 21-7 over their last 28 games, while the Yankees are 5-15 over their last 20, which is why we're taking the Mets on the moneyline (-154) for Monday's series opener. Best of all, Max Scherzer has been lights out lately — 4-1 with an ERA under two in last nine starts — while the Yankees are still searching for their first series win of the month. Anytime these two teams play it always seems to be close, but taking the Mets is worth it. — Jared Shlensky, Yardbarker

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New York Mets: -1 (-121) spread, -159 moneyline, over 7.5 (+102)
New York Yankees: +1 (+100) spread, +145 moneyline, under 7.5 (-115)

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Both teams lead their respective divisions, but recent performances have swung more positive vibes toward the Mets.

The Mets own the second-best record in baseball behind the Los Angeles Dodgers and are 21-7 in their last 28 games, a run that began just before the two victories over the Yankees.

On Sunday, the Mets took three of four by rallying for a 10-9 victory in Philadelphia, powered by a pair of homers from Mark Canha, including a go-ahead two-run drive in the ninth.

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"I don't know -- it's pretty intense in our locker room right now," said Showalter, who was replaced by Joe Torre after losing the 1995 American League Division Series in five games to the Seattle Mariners. "It's a good club -- a really good team. Another one. We just played one, we played one in Atlanta, and we play another good one tomorrow. We'll grind it for nine innings and see what the baseball gods -- where it takes us."

The Yankees owned a 15 1/2-game lead in the AL East on July 8 but are 13-25 since, have 15 losses in their past 20 games and are 10-20 since the All-Star break.

New York capped an emotional weekend by getting a tiebreaking two-run homer from Andrew Benintendi in the seventh inning of Sunday's 4-2 win over the Toronto Blue Jays to move eight games ahead of both the Jays and the Tampa Bay Rays.

Benintendi's blast occurred after managing general partner Hal Steinbrenner and general manager Brian Cashman heard boos during a pregame jersey retirement ceremony for former outfielder Paul O'Neill. It also occurred a day after Gerrit Cole showed his frustration by punching the dugout roof twice and manager Aaron Boone pounded his right hand on the podium in his postgame press conference.

"Hopefully this can kick-start a little streak here," said Benintendi, who was acquired from Kansas City after the first series with the Mets ended. "Obviously, it's not ideal, but we're still in a great spot. We just need to get out of this funk and move forward."

Scherzer (9-2, 2.15 ERA) is attempting to join Kansas City's Zack Greinke and Houston's Justin Verlander as the third active 200-game winner. He is 4-1 with a 1.82 ERA and 75 strikeouts in nine starts since returning from an oblique injury.

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The 38-year-old right-hander is 4-4 with a 3.48 ERA in 10 career starts against the Yankees, whom he last beat April 6, 2013, while with Detroit. Scherzer struck out 14 in 7 1/3 innings in his last appearance at Yankee Stadium on May 8, 2021, in a no-decision for Washington.

The Yankees' Domingo German (1-2, 4.45) makes his seventh start since a shoulder injury delayed his season debut. German took a no-decision in an 8-7 win over Tampa Bay on Wednesday when he allowed three runs in 4 2/3 innings.

German is 1-1 with a 4.43 ERA in four career starts against the Mets. He opposed Scherzer on July 27 and allowed two runs in 4 2/3 innings.

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