Happy Dinger Tuesday to all who celebrate. The baseball gods have blessed us with multiple hitter-friendly weather games on the MLB slate, and we're looking to take advantage with a handful of home run props.
Let's get down to business.
It's going to be hot and humid in Cincinnati with the wind projected to blow out to center field, creating a whopping 39 percent boost to home runs, per Ballpark Pal.
Best bet: Tyler Stephenson (+480 FanDuel)
Chicago Cubs starter Justin Steele does a great job at limiting home runs, but Stephenson is one hitter who can jump on a mistake. In 17 career plate appearances against Steele, Stephenson is batting .563 and slugging .875 with a homer and two doubles. The Cincinnati Reds catcher has also hit seven of his 11 home runs this season at home.
Honorable mention: Cody Bellinger (+520 FD)
The Reds haven't announced a starting pitcher yet, but Bellinger can take advantage of these hitter-friendly conditions with his career-high 34.9 percent fly-ball rate.
High humidity combined and a strong wind blowing out to left-center field are creating a 36 percent boost to home runs at Citizens Bank Park.
Best bet: Alec Bohm (+600 FD)
Bohm hasn't gone yard since making the semifinals in the Home Run Derby, but he's still swinging the bat well. The Philadelphia Phillies third baseman has a team-high 53.8 percent hard-hit rate since the All-Star break. Gerrit Cole is giving up a 10.7 percent barrel rate because he throws a high percentage of fastballs, and Bohm is batting .333 with a .530 slugging percentage against fastballs this year.
Honorable mention: Giancarlo Stanton (+295 DraftKings)
Stanton is batting .313 with two dingers and a double in his career against Aaron Nola. That makes sense considering Nola's most used pitch is his curveball, and Stanton is slugging a ridiculous 1.059 against curveballs this year. We love Stanton in this matchup, but his price is too low to warrant a best bet.
USA women's basketball dominates, Coco Gauff upset at Paris Olympics — The United States women's basketball team began its gold medal quest with a dominant 102-76 victory against Japan. WNBA MVP A'ja Wilson led the way with 24 points and 13 rebounds, and Breanna Stewart was right behind with 22 points. Team USA is -23.5 against Belgium on Thursday. In the women's tennis singles competition, Gauff suffered a surprising defeat at the hands of Croatia's Donna Vekic 7-6, 6-2.
Braves, Dodgers, Astros get busy ahead of MLB trade deadline — It's hard to keep up with all the deals flying in from MLB insiders ahead of Tuesday's trade deadline. The Atlanta Braves brought back an old friend by trading for 2021 World Series MVP Jorge Soler. The Los Angeles Dodgers killed two birds with one stone by landing Tommy Edman and Michael Kopech in a three-team trade with the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago White Sox. In the American League, the Houston Astros bolstered their rotation by adding Yusei Kikuchi, and the Kansas City Royals made a deal for Michael Lorenzen. Teams still have until 6 p.m. ET to make trades.
Aaron Judge hits two more home runs to strengthen grip on AL MVP race — Judge was already a massive favorite to win AL MVP, but his odds dipped even more after crushing two homers against the Philadelphia Phillies in a 14-4 victory for the New York Yankees. The Bronx bomber leads all AL hitters in home runs (39), RBIs (99) and OPS (1.142), and he's now -1000 to win the MVP award.
Today's Bark Bets is written by Jack Dougherty
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