On Thursday, the Cincinnati Reds lost in a ten-inning thriller to the Seattle Mariners after back-to-back home runs surrendered by closer Emilio Pagan sent the game into extra innings. While only pitching the ninth inning, it caused Pagan's stellar start to the season to come to a screeching halt.
The 33-year-old righty entered the game with a 1.08 earned run average across nine games and 7.1 innings pitched. With a small sample size, Pagan had only given up one earned run off a home run, two hits, and one walk altogether. Not to mention, an opponent batting average of 0.74 indicated Pagan was riding a hot streak in his new role before Thursday.
Thanks to the home runs by Cal Raleigh and Randy Arozarena, Pagan's earned run average has jumped to 2.89, although numbers indicate Pagan will bounce back. Among all relievers in MLB with at least two saves, Pagan's 0.54 WHIP is the lowest and boasts a strong .154 batting average against.
While it has been a couple of years, Pagan is not new to the pressure that comes with being a closer. In 2019, he went 20/29 on save opportunities for the Tampa Bay Rays, and 9/16 in 2022 for the Minnesota Twins. Arguably the best two years of his career, both with sub-3.00 ERAs, Pagan thrived because he was striking batters out and avoiding giving up hits. No longer the same strikeout threat, if Pagan can continue to limit walks (0.96 walks per nine innings) and hits (3.86 per nine innings), he'll certainly hold onto the closer gig.
He may not be among the elite closers in baseball, but the Reds need Pagan to shake off his first blown save for the team to perform at its best. The rest of the bullpen, when healthy, has proved to be among the best in baseball, with an ERA that ranks in the top five. Ensuring that Pagan can continue to close out games and proving that the Mariners game was a fluke is vital to the success of the team.
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