
Well, this is a fantasy section, and in our piece on Aaron Judge, we speculated that Juan Soto could be better for your fantasy team because of his dominance in both home runs and stolen bases. Part of that thinking stemmed from Bo Bichette's arrival.
All speculation is that with Bichette now on the Mets, the top of the order will be three high OBP players to start it off. Soto has a career OBP of .417, meaning that he is on base almost 42% of the time he comes to the plate.
Last year, Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo batted behind him. Although Alonso hit .272, it was because Soto was on base, and pitchers needed to pitch to him. In the previous two seasons, he batted .217 and .240.
Now, put Bichette there, who is a career .294 hitter and likely to hit more than the .311 he had last season. He also only struck out 91 times, so his patience will help Soto run. Soto will see more fastballs, leading to more home runs.
There are many things that will help Juan Soto score more runs and drive more in. Obviously, the batting average-heavy lineup behind him will help him score more runs.
The runs batted in will be pushed by multiple factors. A more aggressive Lindor in front of him as pitchers try to protect from the BIG inning. The acquisition of Luis Robert should have him on base before Lindor and create situations with multiple men on base for Soto to drive them in or sustain rallies. The speed of both of them will allow Soto to have more opportunities with runners in scoring position or take more intentional walks.
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Juan Soto is the number two pick in category/roto leagues. Period. No one in their right mind would pass on Shohei Ohtani with the power, speed, pitching combo, and in a lineup that will score more runs than any in baseball.
That said, the next choice of pick 2 is between Bobby Witt Jr. and Aaron Judge. While there are strong arguments for both players, Soto is the man.
At 27 years old, clearly in his prime coming off two amazing seasons of power and speed, he is more valuable than the other two players. The judge has prolific power, but as we outlined before, he is 33 years old, and there will be regression on power into the 40s on home runs. Soto will be there too. Bobby Witt Jr. hits for a higher average but has power concerns. He will steal close to 40 bases, but so will Soto.
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Juan Soto will settle in as a leader with Lindor of the New York Mets. Both players have a winning culture in their blood and can shed the collapses that have plagued the team for generations. Juan Soto had a great year last year, hitting 43 home runs, stealing 38 bases, driving in 105 runs, and scoring 120.
Looking ahead to this year, most pundits see some regression, but with Bo Bichette added to protect him and Luis Robert set to bat ninth and act as a double leadoff hitter, he will take another step.
In the SMART System, we talk about players who get big contracts with a new team, and they have adjustments and expectations to meet. Soto hit just .232 in April and .219 in May before pulling together an amazing statistical season.
Soto will hit .275 (xBA was .279), 45 home runs, 115 runs batted in, score 135 runs, and steal 40 bases.
Well, it is hard to give advice on a player this good. Draft him. I guess the one piece of advice from the SMART System is that “Speed Matters”. Whenever possible, you should try to get players in the first three rounds who steal at least some bases (15 or so). That is why he is a better pick than Aaron Judge. Every other player in the Top 10 ADP who is a hitter steals bases.
Juan Soto is the number two pick in all leagues and all league types. If you use auctions to roster players, he is worth $45. The additions of Bo Bichette and Luis Robert elevate Soto's environment without diminishing his role. If you are lucky enough to pick second, he will be yours, and you will get elite upside in the Mets' powerhouse lineup.
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