Yardbarker
MLB home run props for 6/10: Shhhhh! Have we got a HR tip for you
San Diego Padres shortstop Ha-Seong Kim. Denis Poroy-USA TODAY Sports

MLB home run props for 6/10: Shhhhh! Have we got a HR tip for you

We're coming off a strong week in home run props in which we cashed three winners and hit Oneil Cruz at +520 on Friday to close out the week. Let's keep the momentum rolling into the new week with a three-pack of HR bets for Monday's MLB slate. 

Nelson Velazquez (+520 FanDuel)

Yankees at Royals, 8:10 p.m. ET

Carlos Rodon has been solid for the New York Yankees this season, but he's been prone to making mistakes here and there. The left-hander ranks in the ninth percentile in hard-hit rate and the 22nd percentile in barrel rate, and he's already surrendered 11 homers this year. Nelson Velazquez is on fire against lefties with a .412 batting average and a .765 slugging percentage over the last 30 days, and he leads the Kansas City Royals with six home runs in that span.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+475 DraftKings)

Blue Jays at Brewers, 8:10 p.m. ET

One pitcher we're interested in fading on Monday night is Milwaukee Brewers starter Colin Rea, who's giving up the 18th-highest barrel rate among qualified pitchers this year. Let's fade him with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over the last month, Guerrero is batting .393 and slugging .536 against right-handed pitching. His power numbers have been down this year, but this is a decent breakout spot against a starting pitcher who gives up a ton of barrels in a friendly home run park in American Family Field. 

Ha-Seong Kim (+700 DK)

Athletics at Padres, 9:40 p.m. ET

Monday night's contest between the San Diego Padres and the Oakland Athletics looks to be a great setup for some long balls. Petco Park is the friendliest stadium in MLB to home runs this season, per Baseball Savant 's park factors, and the wind will be blowing out to right field during the game. Let's roll with Ha-Seong Kim, who's batting .292 and slugging .667 against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks. A's righty Joey Estes is giving up a 9.3 percent barrel rate and a 37.3 percent fly-ball rate, so this is a solid matchup for Kim to stay hot. 

Jack Dougherty

Jack Dougherty has been writing professionally since 2015, contributing to publications such as GoPSUSports. com, Centre Daily Times, Associated Press, and Sportscasting. com

More must-reads:

Customize Your Newsletter

Yardbarker +

Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. Emailed daily. Always free!